AI Match Analysis & Predictions
Fiorentina
Pisa
Fiorentina enters this match as the justifiable favorite, despite their own precarious position at 18th in the league. [14, 17] Their home advantage at the Stadio Artemio Franchi is a key factor, coupled with a recent victory over Como that may have boosted morale after a difficult run of results. [33] However, their defense remains a significant concern, having failed to keep a clean sheet in many recent outings. The suspension of midfielder Rolando Mandragora will be felt, but they still possess the attacking talent, such as Moise Kean, to trouble the visitors. [7, 9] Pisa's season has been calamitous. They are languishing in 19th place with only a single victory to their name all season. [15, 24] Their away form is particularly weak, with zero wins on the road. [15] The recent appointment of Oscar Hiljemark as manager yielded a goalless draw, hinting at a new-found defensive focus, but their offensive impotence is a critical issue they have yet to solve. [27] Compounding their problems are several injuries to key players like Raul Albiol and the suspension of Marius Marin, further weakening a squad already low on confidence. [27] While the head-to-head record includes a 0-0 draw earlier this season, Pisa's form has deteriorated significantly since then, making a repeat result improbable. [4]
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- Fiorentina to win and Both Teams to Score. Fiorentina are strong favorites, but their defense is leaky, conceding in their last five games. Pisa, despite their struggles, could find a consolation goal, making this combination at higher odds a potential value.
Risky Bets
- Pisa Double Chance (2X) at 2.238. Given Pisa's dreadful form with no wins in 14 games, betting on them to get a draw or a win is a high-risk proposition, even against a fellow struggling side.
Fiorentina is currently in a relegation battle, sitting 18th in the Serie A table. [13, 14, 17] Their form has been inconsistent, with a recent win against Como breaking a string of poor results that included losses to Napoli, Como in the cup, and Cagliari. [33] Despite their lowly league position, they possess individual quality capable of winning matches, especially at their home ground, the Stadio Artemio Franchi. [17] However, their defense has been a concern, as they have conceded frequently in recent games. [34]
Tactical Notes
Fiorentina has shown defensive vulnerabilities recently, having conceded in each of their last five matches across all competitions. Offensively, they have players like Moise Kean who can be decisive. [9] Their recent 2-1 win over Como demonstrated an ability to score, but also highlighted the tendency to concede. [9, 33] Playing at home against a struggling Pisa side, the expectation will be for Fiorentina to control possession and take the initiative, though they must be wary of counter-attacks given their recent defensive record.
Key Players
Injuries
Pisa are in a dire situation, positioned 19th in Serie A and without a win in their last 14 matches. [13, 15, 21] Their form is extremely poor, characterized by a series of losses and draws, including heavy defeats to Inter Milan. [5, 28] They recently appointed a new manager, Oscar Hiljemark, who managed a 0-0 draw in his first game, suggesting a potential focus on defensive stability. [27] However, with only one win all season, their confidence is likely at rock bottom. [15]
Tactical Notes
Under new manager Oscar Hiljemark, Pisa may adopt a more defensive and pragmatic approach, as seen in their recent 0-0 draw with Hellas Verona. [27] Their primary challenge is a lack of goalscoring threat, having scored the second-fewest goals in the league. [27] Away from home, their record is winless. [15] Against Fiorentina, Pisa will likely aim to stay compact, frustrate the home side, and look to capitalize on set-pieces or counter-attacking opportunities. The suspension of key midfielder Marius Marin will be a significant blow to their structure.