The fundamental factor driving this prediction is the current form and morale of the two clubs. Galatasaray is enjoying one of its best spells, unbeaten in eight matches and demonstrating both domestic dominance and European prowess with a victory over Liverpool. Their attack, featuring stars like Mauro Icardi and Victor Osimhen, is firing on all cylinders. While they have a couple of injuries, their core squad remains intact and cohesive. Ajax, conversely, is in a deep slump. Heavy losses in the Champions League have shattered their defensive confidence, and this issue has spilled over into their domestic campaign. They have conceded 14 goals across their last five matches, a statistic that will encourage the Galatasaray forwards. The suspension of key midfielder Kenneth Taylor will disrupt their rhythm and control in the center of the park, while injuries to other important players further weaken their depth. Although Ajax won the last head-to-head encounter in early 2025, the current context is vastly different. The betting markets have correctly identified Galatasaray as the clear favorite, and our analysis concurs. While Ajax possesses the quality to score at home, their systemic defensive issues are too significant to ignore against such a clinical and confident opponent.