AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Friendlies. National TeamsSunday, November 16, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC00:00
COL

Colombia

Win Probability: 80%
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC
completed
2-1
Prediction: 3-0
AI Prediction
Colombia Win
Result: Colombia Win
High confidence
NEW

New Zealand

Win Probability: 5%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Colombia Wins
1
Draws
N/A
New Zealand Wins
N/A
Last Meeting2003-06-20
Score3-1
ResultColombia Win
Predictions
Match ResultColombia Win
High1.242
Correct Score3-0
Medium7.5
Both Teams To ScoreNo
High1.739
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals
High1.693
AI Match Analysis

The analysis for this match is decisively shaped by the contrasting fortunes of the two nations. Colombia is riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in their recent fixtures and showcasing an explosive attack that has consistently overwhelmed opponents. Their comprehensive wins against quality opposition like Mexico and in high-stakes qualifiers demonstrate their current standing as one of South America's elite teams. They are at full strength and playing on home soil, creating an intimidating environment for any visitor. New Zealand, on the other hand, faces a perfect storm of negative factors. Their pre-existing poor form, with four losses in their last five games, is now critically exacerbated by an injury crisis. The absence of six key players cannot be overstated. Losing their all-time top scorer Chris Wood removes their primary goal threat, while the loss of other experienced players in defense and midfield dismantles the team's spine. The tactical approach for the All Whites will inevitably be one of damage control, focusing on defensive solidity. However, containing Colombia's dynamic and multifaceted attack for a full 90 minutes seems an insurmountable task for this depleted squad. The historical head-to-head, a single 3-1 win for Colombia in 2003, is too outdated to be relevant, but the current gulf in quality is vast. All indicators point towards a one-sided affair, with Colombia expected to control the game and win by a significant margin.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Both Teams to Score: No - New Zealand is missing its captain and top scorer Chris Wood, along with other key attacking and midfield players. This severely blunts their goal threat against a strong Colombian defense, making the odds of 1.739 for a clean sheet victory for the home side appear valuable.
Risky Bets
  • Draw - Given the massive disparity in form, quality, and player availability, a draw would be a major upset. At odds of 6.96, it's a high-risk bet with a very low probability of success.
  • New Zealand Win - An away victory is almost unthinkable. The odds of 13.9 accurately reflect the monumental task facing the injury-depleted All Whites.
Colombia Overview

Colombia enters this friendly in formidable form, currently enjoying a long unbeaten streak. Their recent results include impressive victories over Mexico (4-0) and Venezuela (6-3), alongside credible draws with Canada and Argentina. The team is playing with high confidence, demonstrating a potent attack and a solid defensive structure. Ranked 13th in the world, they possess a significant quality advantage over their opponents.

Tactical Notes

Colombia is expected to dominate possession and apply relentless pressure from the outset. Utilizing their skilled wingers and the creative playmaking of midfielders like James Rodríguez, they will aim to break down New Zealand's defense through intricate passing and quick transitions. Expect a high press to force turnovers and create scoring opportunities close to the opposition's goal.

Key Players

Luis DíazJames RodríguezDavinson Sánchez
New Zealand Overview

New Zealand comes into this match in a difficult situation. Their recent form is poor, having lost four of their last five matches. This is compounded by a severe injury crisis that has ruled out six regular starters, including their captain and all-time leading scorer, Chris Wood. These absences severely weaken the team across all areas of the pitch, making a challenging fixture against a top South American side even more daunting.

Tactical Notes

Given their significant personnel losses and the strength of their opponent, New Zealand will likely adopt a defensive, counter-attacking posture. They will need to maintain a compact low block, absorb pressure, and look for rare opportunities on the break. Set-pieces may represent their most viable path to a goal, but their primary focus will be on defensive resilience and damage limitation against a far superior attacking team.

Key Players

Michael BoxallSarpreet SinghBen Waine

Injuries

Chris WoodInjured
Liberato CacaceInjured
Callum McCowattInjured
Alex PaulsenInjured
Ryan ThomasInjured
Tim PayneInjured
Last 5 Matches - Colombia
15
DCanada
0-02025-10-15
12
WMexico
4-02025-10-12
09
WVenezuela
6-32025-09-09
04
WBolivia
3-02025-09-04
10
DArgentina
1-12025-06-10
Last 5 Matches - New Zealand
14
DNorway
1-12025-10-14
09
LPoland
0-12025-10-09
09
LAustralia
1-32025-09-09
05
LAustralia
0-12025-09-05
10
LUkraine
1-22025-06-10
Match Result Analysis
Final Score2-1
Match Result Correct
Correct Score Incorrect
Both Teams To Score Incorrect
Total Goals Correct
Overall Accuracy2/4 (50%)

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