AI Match Analysis & Predictions
Fiorentina
Bologna 1909
Fiorentina enters this 'Derby dell'Appennino' in a precarious position, languishing in the relegation zone. Their recent performances have been alarming, especially at the Stadio Artemio Franchi where they have lost 60% of their last five matches. The pressure is mounting on manager Stefano Pioli to turn things around. In contrast, Bologna is enjoying a strong season, currently occupying a Europa League spot. Their form has been impressive, with four wins in their last seven Serie A games. The head-to-head record between these two sides has been close historically, but Bologna has had the upper hand in 67% of the last six encounters. Fiorentina did, however, win the most recent meeting 3-2. Bologna's attack, even with some injuries, has been potent, and they will fancy their chances against a Fiorentina defense that has struggled for consistency. The betting odds reflect a very tight contest, with both teams having similar chances of winning according to the bookmakers. However, the data on recent form strongly suggests that Bologna is the more likely victor. A narrow away win with both teams scoring seems a likely scenario.
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- Bologna to win at odds of 2.833, given their strong recent form compared to Fiorentina's struggles.
- Over 2.5 goals at 2.326 seems a good value, as recent head-to-head matches have seen a good number of goals.
Risky Bets
- A correct score of 1-2 to Bologna. While plausible, predicting the exact score is always difficult.
Fiorentina is currently struggling in Serie A, sitting in 18th place. Their recent form is poor, with four losses in their last six matches across all competitions. They have particularly found it difficult at home, losing a significant portion of their recent games at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Tactical Notes
Under manager Stefano Pioli, Fiorentina has often utilized a 3-5-2 formation. They will look to their wing-backs to provide width and service to the front two. Despite poor results, they have shown they can score, as seen in their recent 3-2 victory over Bologna. However, their defense has been a major concern, conceding frequently.
Key Players
Injuries
Bologna comes into this match in strong form, positioned 5th in the Serie A table. They have won four of their last seven league games and are unbeaten in their last four matches across all competitions. Their away form has also been respectable.
Tactical Notes
Bologna has shown themselves to be a capable scoring side, with Riccardo Orsolini being a consistent threat. They have demonstrated an ability to perform well on the road and will likely look to exploit Fiorentina's defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent results, including a 2-0 win away at Cagliari, highlight their current confidence.