AI Match Analysis & Predictions

World Cup 2026 Qualification. AfricaSunday, October 12, 2025 at 4:00 PM UTC16:00
CHA

Chad

Win Probability: 25%
Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 4:00 PM UTC
completed
2-3
Prediction: 0-1
AI Prediction
Central African Republic Win
Result: Central African Republic Win
High confidence
CEN

Central African Republic

Win Probability: 45%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Chad Wins
N/A
Draws
N/A
Central African Republic Wins
1
Last Meeting2024-06-05
Score1-0
ResultChad Win
Predictions
Match ResultCentral African Republic Win
Medium2.03
Correct Score0-1
Low6.5
Both Teams To ScoreNo
High1.761
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals
High1.615
AI Match Analysis

This World Cup qualification match brings together two teams in the midst of difficult periods. Chad's recent record is a cause for significant concern, as they have failed to secure a victory in their last 13 matches. Their defensive record in this campaign is the worst in the group, a weakness the Central African Republic will be keen to exploit. For the visitors, the primary issue has been a lack of goals, having not found the net in their last five outings. However, the potential return of key forward Louis Mafouta could be the catalyst they need to break this barren spell. The previous meeting between these two sides ended in a 1-0 win for the Central African Republic, and a similar result could well be on the cards this time around. Given the offensive woes of both teams, a low-scoring game is the most probable outcome. The provided odds reflect the Central African Republic's status as slight favorites, and their superior, albeit still poor, form suggests they are the more likely of the two to come away with the three points.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • An away win for the Central African Republic at odds of 2.03 could offer good value, considering Chad's extremely poor form and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Under 2.5 goals at 1.615 seems a solid bet given both teams' recent struggles in front of goal.
Risky Bets
  • A correct score of 0-1 at 6.5 is a risky proposition, as is any correct score bet, but it aligns with the expected low-scoring nature of the match and the potential for a narrow away victory.
  • Backing Chad to win at 3.68 is a high-risk wager given their long winless streak.
Chad Overview

Chad enters this World Cup qualifier in dire form, currently sitting at the bottom of Group I. They have struggled significantly on both ends of the pitch, conceding 19 goals while only scoring 3 in the campaign so far. Their recent results include a series of losses and a couple of draws, highlighting their difficulty in securing victories. The team has not won a match in their last 13 attempts, a statistic that speaks volumes about their current struggles.

Tactical Notes

Chad's primary challenge appears to be their defensive fragility, having conceded a high number of goals. Offensively, they have also been lackluster, failing to find the back of the net consistently. Their tactical approach will likely be to sit deep and attempt to frustrate the Central African Republic, hoping to capitalize on any potential counter-attacking opportunities. A compact defensive shape will be crucial if they are to have any chance of getting a positive result.

Key Players

Eric MbangossoumAmine Hiver
Central African Republic Overview

The Central African Republic also finds themselves in a difficult position in Group I, just one spot above Chad. While their overall performance has been poor, they have shown slightly more promise than their upcoming opponents. Their recent form is concerning, with a string of losses and a draw, and they have failed to score in their last five matches. However, they did manage to secure a 1-0 victory over Chad in their previous head-to-head encounter.

Tactical Notes

The Central African Republic's main issue has been their inability to score goals, a problem they will be desperate to solve against a leaky Chad defense. The potential return of their top scorer, Louis Mafouta, could provide a much-needed boost to their attack. Defensively, they have been more solid than Chad, conceding fewer goals in the qualifying campaign. Their strategy will likely revolve around controlling possession and creating chances, while remaining wary of any potential threats on the break.

Key Players

Louis MafoutaGeoffrey Kondogbia
Last 5 Matches - Chad
08
LMadagascar
1-32025-09-08
04
DGhana
1-12025-09-04
10
LKenya
1-22025-06-10
07
DKenya
0-02025-06-07
25
LComoro Islands
0-12025-03-25
Last 5 Matches - Central African Republic
07
LComoro Islands
0-22025-09-07
04
LMadagascar
0-22025-09-04
16
DTanzania
0-02025-08-16
13
LMadagascar
0-22025-08-13
09
LMauritania
0-12025-08-09
Match Result Analysis
Final Score2-3
Match Result Correct
Correct Score Incorrect
Both Teams To Score Incorrect
Total Goals Incorrect
Overall Accuracy1/4 (25%)

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