AI Match Analysis & Predictions
Nantes
Le Havre
Nantes is in a state of crisis, having lost their last five league matches and languishing in the relegation zone. [10, 17] The pressure is immense on the home side to turn their fortunes around, but their recent performances offer little encouragement. The suspension of top scorer Matthis Abline is a major blow, further weakening an already struggling attack. [11, 17] In contrast, Le Havre has been in good form, with two wins and two draws in their last five games. [1] This has seen them climb to a comfortable mid-table position. [22, 28] However, they will be without their key defender Arouna Sangante, which could make them more vulnerable at the back. [1, 12] The head-to-head record between these two teams is evenly matched, with two wins for Nantes, two for Le Havre, and two draws in their last six meetings. Their last encounter in November 2025 ended in a 1-1 draw. [7] Considering all these factors, a draw seems the most probable result. Nantes' desperation for a point, combined with Le Havre's solid form but key defensive absence, could lead to a cagey match where both teams prioritize avoiding defeat. The odds for a draw offer good value, as does the under 2.5 goals market, which has been a frequent outcome in their past meetings. [17]
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- Draw (X) at 3.37, as both teams have reasons to be cautious and a draw is a plausible outcome given Nantes' desperation to stop their losing streak and Le Havre's solid form.
- Under 2.5 goals at 1.78, considering Nantes' scoring struggles and the fact that 8 of the last 10 head-to-head matches have seen under 2.5 goals. [17]
Risky Bets
- Nantes to win at 2.508, given their dreadful run of five consecutive losses.
- Le Havre to win at 3.125. While they are in better form, their away record is not dominant, and they are missing a key defender.
Nantes comes into this match in dire form, having lost their last five matches. [10, 17] They currently sit in 17th place in the Ligue 1 table, firmly in the relegation zone. [21, 28] Their home form has been particularly poor, with four losses in their last five matches at the Stade de la Beaujoire. [17, 7] Scoring has been a problem, and they have conceded a significant number of goals, reflected in their -20 goal difference. [21, 17]
Tactical Notes
Given their recent struggles, Nantes will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on defensive solidity to avoid another defeat. They may look to play on the counter-attack, utilizing the experience of players like Rémy Cabella to create chances. However, the absence of their top scorer, Matthis Abline, due to suspension will be a significant blow to their attacking threat. [18, 11]
Key Players
Injuries
Le Havre enters this fixture in contrasting form to their opponents. They have secured two wins and two draws in their last five outings, showing a good run of results. [1] Currently 13th in the league, they have a comfortable gap from the relegation spots. [22, 28] Their recent away form has been steady, with a mix of results, but they have proven to be a tough team to beat.
Tactical Notes
Le Havre is expected to be the more confident side, given their recent form. They will likely aim to control possession and apply pressure on a fragile Nantes defense. However, they will be without the suspended Arouna Sangante, a key figure in their defense. [1, 12] Offensively, they will look to their attacking players to exploit the weaknesses in the Nantes backline.