AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie ASunday, November 30, 2025 at 9:30 PM UTC21:30
FOR

Fortaleza EC

Win Probability: 45%
Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 9:30 PM UTC
2-1
AI Prediction
Fortaleza EC Win
High confidence
CLU

Clube Atletico Mineiro

Win Probability: 25%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Fortaleza EC Wins
1
Draws
4
Clube Atletico Mineiro Wins
1
Last Meeting2025-11-12
Score3-3
ResultDraw
Predictions
Match ResultFortaleza EC Win
Medium2.379
Correct Score2-1
Low9.0
Both Teams To ScoreYes
High1.83
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals
Medium2.17
AI Match Analysis

The syndicate's analysis points towards a home victory for Fortaleza, driven by a confluence of factors. Firstly, the context of the league standings is paramount; Fortaleza is in a fierce relegation battle where every point is crucial, ensuring maximum effort and motivation. Their recent form, an undefeated streak of five games (WWDDD), stands in stark contrast to Atletico Mineiro's single win in their last five (DLLDW). Secondly, Atletico Mineiro is navigating a difficult period. The emotional and physical toll of losing the Copa Sudamericana final on penalties cannot be understated and is likely to impact their performance. Furthermore, they will be without the suspended Igor Gomes and several other injured players, weakening their squad depth. While the head-to-head record shows a high percentage of draws (four of the last six meetings), Fortaleza's current momentum and Atletico's struggles suggest the home team is well-positioned to break that pattern. The betting markets reflect a close contest, but our analysis identifies the odds for a Fortaleza win as holding significant value. We anticipate goals from both sides, as has been the case in their recent meetings, including a thrilling 3-3 draw just weeks ago. However, Fortaleza's superior urgency and form should be the deciding factor in securing all three points.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Fortaleza to win at 2.379 odds represents strong value, given their superior form, home advantage, and high motivation compared to an out-of-sorts opponent.
  • Both Teams to Score (Yes) at 1.83 is a compelling option. Fortaleza has scored in seven straight matches, while both teams have scored in the last five head-to-head encounters.
Risky Bets
  • An Atletico Mineiro win at 3.215 odds is considered risky due to their poor recent form, key player absences, and the potential for a post-cup final emotional letdown.
  • A correct score of 2-1, while aligning with the overall prediction, is inherently a high-risk wager due to the precise nature of the outcome.
Fortaleza EC Overview

Fortaleza enters this crucial match in a desperate fight for survival, currently sitting in the relegation zone. However, their recent form is encouraging, as they are unbeaten in their last five matches, securing two wins and three draws. Playing at home with immense motivation to avoid the drop gives them a significant psychological edge.

Tactical Notes

Under manager Martín Palermo, Fortaleza has shown resilience. They have been consistently finding the back of the net, having scored in their last seven games. Expect them to play with high intensity from the start, pressing Atletico Mineiro and utilizing their home advantage. The return of midfielder Lucas Sasha from suspension should add stability to the midfield.

Key Players

Adam BareiroTomas PochettinoBreno Lopes

Injuries

Bruno PachecoInjured
Clube Atletico Mineiro Overview

Clube Atletico Mineiro sits comfortably in the middle of the table with little to play for in the league. Their recent form is a concern, with only one win in their last five outings. The team is also likely to be suffering from a significant drop in morale after a heartbreaking penalty shootout loss in the Copa Sudamericana final.

Tactical Notes

Manager Jorge Sampaoli faces a challenge in lifting his squad's spirits. With key midfielder Igor Gomes suspended and a list of injuries, team rotation is expected. The team has been defensively vulnerable, conceding in their last four games. Their mental state and motivation will be the biggest question marks heading into this fixture.

Key Players

HulkBernardGustavo Scarpa

Injuries

LyancoInjured
Junior SantosInjured
T. CuelloInjured
RonyInjured
Alan FrancoInjured
Last 5 Matches - Fortaleza EC
26
WRed Bull Bragantino
1-02025-11-26
20
WBahia
3-22025-11-20
12
DClube Atletico Mineiro
3-32025-11-12
09
DGremio Porto Alegrense
2-22025-11-09
06
DCeara
1-12025-11-06
Last 5 Matches - Clube Atletico Mineiro
26
DFlamengo
1-12025-11-26
22
LClub Atletico Lanus
0-12025-11-22
16
LRed Bull Bragantino
0-22025-11-16
12
DFortaleza EC
3-32025-11-12
08
WSport Club do Recife
4-22025-11-08

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