AI Match Analysis & Predictions
Deportivo Alaves
Espanyol
Espanyol enters this match with significant momentum, having secured two consecutive wins and demonstrating formidable defensive organization. Their ability to keep clean sheets, with three in the last four matches, is a testament to their disciplined approach under Manolo González. [18, 20] In contrast, Deportivo Alaves has been sputtering, with just one victory in their last five league outings and a worrying lack of firepower upfront. [19] The historical context further favors the visitors; Espanyol has dominated the recent head-to-head series, winning four of the last five meetings, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent clash in February 2025. [3, 5] Alaves will also be without suspended defender Facundo Garcés, which could further weaken their backline. [4] Considering Alaves' offensive struggles and Espanyol's defensive prowess, another low-scoring game seems probable. The betting markets reflect this, with 'Under 2.5 goals' heavily favored. Ultimately, Espanyol's current form, defensive stability, and psychological edge from past encounters position them to secure a narrow victory on the road.
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- Espanyol to win at odds of 3.305 seems to offer good value, given their superior form and defensive solidity compared to the struggling home side.
- Under 2.5 goals at 1.604 is a strong candidate, as both teams' recent matches have been low-scoring, and their head-to-head history also points towards fewer goals.
Risky Bets
- A correct score of 0-1 at 7.5 is a risky proposition due to its specificity, but it aligns with the expected pattern of a tight, low-scoring Espanyol victory.
- Deportivo Alaves to win at 2.502 carries significant risk given their poor form and head-to-head record against Espanyol.
Deportivo Alaves comes into this match in inconsistent form, with only one win in their last five La Liga matches. [16, 19] They currently sit in the bottom half of the table. [7, 25] Their home form has been average, and they've struggled for goals, scoring just nine times this season. [7] Historically, they have not fared well against Espanyol, losing four of the last five head-to-head encounters. [5, 11]
Tactical Notes
Alaves has shown a tendency for low-scoring games, with six of their last eight matches going under 2.5 goals. [5] They often draw at half-time, indicating a cautious start to their games. [5] Their main challenge will be breaking down a solid Espanyol defense while dealing with their own personnel issues due to injuries and a key suspension in defense.
Key Players
Injuries
Espanyol is enjoying a strong start to their La Liga season, currently positioned in the top half of the table. [19, 25] Their recent form is excellent, having won their last two matches without conceding a goal. [18] Their defense has been a key strength, with goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski keeping three clean sheets in the last four games. [20] They have a dominant head-to-head record against Alaves, winning the last two encounters. [1, 3]
Tactical Notes
Espanyol's defensive solidity is their main asset. They have conceded only 11 goals this season and have recently become a fortress at the back. [20] Under coach Manolo González, they are well-organized and have shown they can grind out results, particularly in away matches where they are undefeated in their last two. [8] Their strategy will likely revolve around maintaining a strong defensive shape and capitalizing on Alaves's offensive struggles.