AI Match Analysis & Predictions
Willem II
Emmen
This Eerste Divisie clash sees 8th-placed Willem II host 11th-placed Emmen. Historically, Willem II has dominated this fixture, particularly on their home turf, winning 7 of the past 12 meetings overall. The hosts, however, have been in inconsistent form recently in the league, with just one win in their last five, though that includes a thumping 7-0 cup victory which showcases their potential. Emmen enters the match in slightly better recent form, with two wins in their last five league outings. Their main strength lies in their attack, featuring the division's top scorer, Romano Postema. This is reflected in their season goal tally, which is higher than Willem II's. Conversely, they have also proven to be defensively frail, conceding more goals than their upcoming opponents. Considering Willem II's home advantage and historical precedent, they are the logical favorites. The provided odds of 1.92 for a home win align with this analysis. However, Emmen's potent offense cannot be discounted, making a bet on 'Both Teams to Score' a compelling option. The likelihood of goals from both sides also supports a prediction of the total goals going over 2.5. A 2-1 victory for Willem II appears to be a plausible outcome, balancing the home team's edge with Emmen's consistent ability to find the back of the net.
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- A '2-1' correct score bet for Willem II offers significant value at 8.0 odds, reflecting the home team's historical advantage and both teams' tendency to score and concede.
- Over 2.5 total goals at 1.57 odds is a strong value proposition, given that both teams have been consistently involved in high-scoring games.
Risky Bets
- An away win for Emmen at 3.42 is a risky proposition, considering their inconsistent away form and Willem II's solid head-to-head record at home.
- A draw at 3.84 could be considered risky as the last three encounters between these sides have not ended in a draw.
Willem II comes into this match in mixed form, with their recent results showing a pattern of draws and losses, punctuated by a significant cup win. Currently positioned 8th in the Eerste Divisie, they have struggled for consistency. Head-to-head history favors them, especially at home, having won 7 of the last 12 encounters against Emmen. Their home form in the league has seen them secure 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses.
Tactical Notes
Willem II has demonstrated potent attacking capabilities at times, highlighted by a recent 7-0 cup victory. However, they have also shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding in most of their recent league matches. They score, on average, 1.27 goals per game while conceding 1.60. Expect them to leverage their home advantage and press offensively, but their backline will be tested by an Emmen side that has been finding the net regularly.
Key Players
Injuries
Emmen sits in 11th place in the Eerste Divisie, just a couple of points behind their opponents. Their recent form is slightly better than Willem II's, characterized by wins and a draw, though they've also suffered heavy away defeats. Emmen has scored more goals than Willem II this season but has also conceded more, indicating an open style of play. Romano Postema is a significant threat, being the competition's top scorer.
Tactical Notes
Emmen's matches often feature a high number of goals, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game. Their away form has been inconsistent, with 3 wins and 5 losses on the road. They will likely adopt an attacking approach, looking to exploit any defensive frailties in the Willem II side. The battle between Emmen's attack, led by Postema, and Willem II's home defense will be a key factor in the match's outcome.