AI Match Analysis & Predictions

World Cup 2026 Qualification. EuropeSaturday, November 15, 2025 at 7:45 PM UTC19:45
GRE

Greece

Win Probability: 30%
Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 7:45 PM UTC
completed
3-2
Prediction: 1-1
AI Prediction
Draw
Result: Greece Win
High confidence
SCO

Scotland

Win Probability: 40%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Greece Wins
2
Draws
N/A
Scotland Wins
3
Last Meeting2025-10-09
Score3-1
ResultGreece Win
Predictions
Match ResultDraw
Medium3.435
Correct Score1-1
Low6.0
Both Teams To ScoreYes
High1.82
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals
Medium1.793
AI Match Analysis

The initial analysis heavily favored Scotland based on their stellar unbeaten run and Greece's recent struggles, which included a 3-1 defeat in the reverse fixture. Scotland's defensive record on the road has been particularly impressive, providing a strong foundation for their success. However, the context has been dramatically altered by team news. The loss of Billy Gilmour, Ross McCrorie, and Lennon Miller guts the Scottish midfield, depriving them of control, creativity, and depth. This setback largely explains why the betting markets have Greece as the slight favorite, despite their recent run of three straight defeats where they've conceded nine goals. For Greece, this match is a dead rubber. Having been eliminated, they are playing purely for pride in front of their home supporters. This lack of pressure can sometimes liberate a team, but it can also lead to a drop in intensity. Their key challenge remains defensive fragility, which a motivated Scottish attack will be keen to exploit. For Scotland, the objective is clear: avoid defeat. A draw keeps their destiny in their own hands ahead of the final group match against Denmark. Manager Steve Clarke is known for his pragmatism, and with a weakened midfield, it is logical to expect a strategy focused on defensive solidity first and foremost. While their attack is potent, the service from midfield may be less fluid. Given these competing factors, a stalemate seems the most logical conclusion. Both teams have the capability to score, but a cagey affair is expected, making a 1-1 draw the most compelling correct score prediction.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Match Result: Draw - The odds of 3.435 are attractive given Scotland's key midfield injuries leveling the playing field, while their high motivation and need for just a point make a draw a strong possibility.
  • Double Chance: 2X (Draw or Scotland) - At 1.688, this seems a solid value bet. Scotland's superior form and motivation mean they should be capable of avoiding defeat, even with their injuries.
Risky Bets
  • Correct Score: 1-1 - While it aligns with the overall analysis, predicting the exact score is inherently difficult. The odds of 6.0 reflect this risk but offer a high reward.
  • Home Win: Greece - Despite their poor form and lack of motivation, the odds of 2.308 make them favorites. This is risky given their recent results but plausible due to Scotland's injuries and home advantage.
Greece Overview

Greece enters this match with their World Cup qualification hopes already over, having lost their last three qualifiers consecutively. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding nine goals across those three matches. With nothing but pride to play for at home, their performance could be unpredictable. Their campaign has been a story of extremes, with high-scoring wins against weaker opposition but an inability to compete with the group's top teams.

Tactical Notes

Playing at home with no pressure, Greece may adopt a more open and attacking style than in previous matches. However, their primary issue has been defensive solidity against strong opposition. They will need to be far more organized at the back to contain a motivated Scottish side. The focus will be on key attacking players like Bakasetas and Pavlidis to create chances against a typically resolute Scottish defence.

Key Players

Anastasios BakasetasVangelis PavlidisKonstantinos Tsimikas

Injuries

Panagiotis RetsosOut
Scotland Overview

Scotland is in excellent form and has already secured a minimum of a play-off spot. Their motivation is sky-high as a point here would be a giant step towards automatic qualification. Their recent away form has been built on a rock-solid defence, having kept four successive clean sheets on the road. The primary concern is a depleted midfield, with the absence of the influential Billy Gilmour a significant blow to their creativity and control in the middle of the park.

Tactical Notes

Scotland's success under Steve Clarke has been built on defensive organisation and tactical discipline. Given their injury situation in midfield and the fact that a draw is a very good result, they may adopt a more cautious and pragmatic approach. They will likely look to remain compact and hit Greece on the counter-attack, utilizing the energy of John McGinn and the creativity of players like Ryan Christie, who scored in the reverse fixture.

Key Players

John McGinnAndrew RobertsonRyan Christie

Injuries

Billy GilmourOut
Lennon MillerOut
Ross McCrorieOut
Last 5 Matches - Greece
12
LDenmark
1-32025-10-12
09
LScotland
1-32025-10-09
08
LDenmark
0-32025-09-08
05
WBelarus
5-12025-09-05
10
WBulgaria
4-02025-06-10
Last 5 Matches - Scotland
12
WBelarus
2-12025-10-12
09
WGreece
3-12025-10-09
08
WBelarus
2-02025-09-08
05
DDenmark
0-02025-09-05
09
WLiechtenstein
4-02025-06-09
Match Result Analysis
Final Score3-2
Match Result Incorrect
Correct Score Incorrect
Both Teams To Score Correct
Total Goals Incorrect
Overall Accuracy1/4 (25%)

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