AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Spain. Segunda DivisionSaturday, November 15, 2025 at 3:00 PM UTC15:00
CAS

Castellon

Win Probability: 65%
Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 3:00 PM UTC
completed
5-4
Prediction: 2-0
AI Prediction
Castellon Win
Result: Castellon Win
High confidence
REA

Real Sociedad II

Win Probability: 15%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Castellon Wins
N/A
Draws
2
Real Sociedad II Wins
N/A
Last Meeting2023-05-27
Score1-1
ResultDraw
Predictions
Match ResultCastellon Win
High1.482
Correct Score2-0
Medium6.0
Both Teams To ScoreNo
Medium1.884
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals
High2.183
AI Match Analysis

This match presents a classic home-banker scenario. Castellon, despite some inconsistencies, are a solid side at the Nou Estadi Castalia. Their recent win against Malaga will have provided a much-needed morale boost, and they will be keen to build on that momentum. The return of key defensive personnel should also shore up a backline that has been somewhat leaky. In contrast, Real Sociedad II's away form is a major red flag. They have failed to pick up a single point on their travels this season, a statistic that is hard to ignore. While they have secured some positive results at home, their inability to replicate that form on the road makes them significant underdogs here. The head-to-head record between these two sides shows two previous draws, but the current form and circumstances heavily favor the home team. The odds reflect this, with Castellon priced as the clear favorite. A low-scoring affair is anticipated, as Real Sociedad II will likely set up to frustrate the hosts and limit their attacking opportunities. However, Castellon's superior quality should eventually shine through, leading to a home win.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Castellon to win and Under 2.5 goals. The hosts are strong favorites, but Real Sociedad II's poor away form combined with Castellon's sometimes-inconsistent attack suggests a low-scoring home victory.
Risky Bets
  • Correct Score of 2-0. While a home win seems likely, predicting the exact score is always a challenge. However, given Real Sociedad II's struggles to score on the road, a clean sheet for Castellon is a real possibility.
Castellon Overview

Castellon comes into this match in mixed form, with a recent vital win against Malaga but also a string of losses prior. They currently sit 14th in the Segunda Division standings. Their home form has been inconsistent, but they possess the attacking talent to trouble any defense in the league. The return of Alberto Jimenez from suspension will bolster their defensive options.

Tactical Notes

Castellon is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. They will likely look to control the midfield and utilize the creativity of players like Alex Calatrava, who has been a standout performer this season. Their attack will be spearheaded by Adam Jakobsen. Defensively, they have recently regained a full complement of players, which should provide more stability at the back.

Key Players

Alex CalatravaAdam Jakobsen

Injuries

Douglas AurelioCruciate ligament injury
Agustín SienraThigh injury
Romain MatthysHip injury
SerpetaInjured
Real Sociedad II Overview

Real Sociedad II is in poor form, especially away from home where they have lost all of their matches this season. They are currently 15th in the league table, just behind Castellon. Despite their struggles on the road, they have shown they can be a resilient side, as evidenced by their recent home wins.

Tactical Notes

Real Sociedad II typically employs a 4-4-2 formation. Their game plan will likely revolve around a solid defensive structure and looking to hit Castellon on the counter-attack. The midfield duo of Luken Beitia and Jon Ochieng will be crucial in both shielding the defense and initiating attacks. Their away form is a significant concern, and they will need to be at their best to get a result.

Key Players

Luken BeitiaJon Ochieng

Injuries

Jon KarrikaburuLeg injury
Yangel HerreraLeg injury
Last 5 Matches - Castellon
10
DBurgos
0-02025-11-10
02
WMalaga
2-12025-11-02
30
LCA Antoniano
0-12025-10-30
26
LUD Almeria
0-12025-10-26
19
LAlbacete Balompie
0-12025-10-19
Last 5 Matches - Real Sociedad II
08
WLeganes
2-12025-11-08
05
WHuesca
2-02025-11-05
31
LRacing de Santander
0-12025-10-31
25
LBurgos
0-12025-10-25
11
WAndorra Andorra la Vella
3-02025-10-11
Match Result Analysis
Final Score5-4
Match Result Correct
Correct Score Incorrect
Both Teams To Score Incorrect
Total Goals Incorrect
Overall Accuracy1/4 (25%)

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