AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Portugal. Taca de PortugalThursday, December 18, 2025 at 8:45 PM UTC20:45
POR

Porto

Win Probability: 65%
Thursday, December 18, 2025 at 8:45 PM UTC
3-1
AI Prediction
Porto Win
High confidence
FAM

Famalicao

Win Probability: 15%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Porto Wins
4
Draws
2
Famalicao Wins
N/A
Last Meeting2025-11-09
Score0-1
ResultFamalicao Win
Predictions
Match ResultPorto Win
High1.454
Correct Score3-1
Medium10.0
Both Teams To ScoreYes
Medium1.94
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals
High1.9
AI Match Analysis

This Taça de Portugal match-up heavily favors the home side, Porto. Their recent form has been exceptional, with five wins from their last six games. [16] They have been prolific in front of goal, and their attacking trio of Evanilson, Mehdi Taremi, and Pepê can dismantle any defense on their day. The historical context also paints a grim picture for the visitors; Porto has won 12 of the last 16 meetings between the two sides. [2] Famalicao, while having a decent season and sitting 6th in the league, have struggled for consistency. [18, 30] Their recent 4-0 win against Estoril will give them confidence, but facing Porto at the Estádio do Dragão is an entirely different challenge. [9, 17] While Famalicao may find a consolation goal, Porto's superiority is expected to shine through, leading to a comfortable victory.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Porto to win and Over 2.5 goals. This aligns with Porto's strong home form and high-scoring nature, combined with Famalicao's own scoring threat making a high-scoring home win plausible.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS) - Yes. Given Porto's immense offensive power and Famalicao's recent scoring form, there's a good chance both teams will find the back of the net.
Risky Bets
  • Correct Score of 3-1. While plausible, predicting the exact score is inherently difficult. This bet offers high returns but comes with significant risk.
  • Famalicao Double Chance (2x). Despite Porto's dominance, an upset is never impossible in a cup tie. This is a high-risk, high-reward bet.
Porto Overview

Porto comes into this Taça de Portugal match in formidable form, having won five of their last six matches across all competitions. [16] Their only recent setback was a loss in the League Cup. [16] They have a dominant head-to-head record against Famalicao, winning 12 of their 16 encounters. [2] Currently sitting at the top of the Primeira Liga table, their confidence will be high. [30, 32, 33] Porto possesses a potent attack, consistently scoring in their recent games, and will look to leverage their home advantage at the Estádio do Dragão.

Tactical Notes

Porto is expected to dominate possession and apply high pressure from the outset. Their attacking style often results in a high number of goals, with six of their last ten matches seeing over 2.5 goals. [7] They are proficient in breaking down defensive lines through intricate passing and movement from their key offensive players. Defensively they are generally solid, though they have been susceptible to conceding.

Key Players

EvanilsonMehdi TaremiPepêAlan Varela

Injuries

Luuk De JongKnock injury
Nehuén PérezTendon injury
Zaidu SanusiInternational duty
Iván MarcanoUnknown
Marko GrujicUnknown
Francisco MouraUnknown
Famalicao Overview

Famalicao has had a mixed bag of results recently, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. [17] They are coming off an impressive 4-0 victory against Estoril, which will provide a much-needed morale boost. [9, 17] In the Primeira Liga standings, they are in a respectable 6th place. [30, 32] Historically, they have struggled against Porto, having not won in their last six meetings. [7] Their away form is quite strong, with three wins and three draws in their last six away fixtures. [18]

Tactical Notes

Famalicao will likely adopt a more cautious and counter-attacking approach, aiming to absorb Porto's pressure and exploit any opportunities on the break. Their recent 4-0 win demonstrates their offensive capabilities, and they will be looking to their key attackers to be clinical in front of goal. They will need to be defensively resolute to withstand Porto's attacking prowess.

Key Players

Yassir ZabiriGustavo SáGil Dias

Injuries

Óscar ArandaCruciate ligament injury
Last 5 Matches - Porto
15
WEstrela da Amadora
3-12025-12-15
11
WMalmo
2-12025-12-11
07
WTondela
2-02025-12-07
04
LVitoria Guimaraes
1-32025-12-04
30
WEstoril
1-02025-11-30
Last 5 Matches - Famalicao
14
WEstoril
4-02025-12-14
06
LBraga
1-22025-12-06
29
DMoreirense
2-22025-11-29
22
WEstoril
2-12025-11-22
09
LPorto
0-12025-11-09

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