AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Egypt. Premier LeagueFriday, February 20, 2026 at 7:30 PM UTC19:30
ISM

Ismaily

Win Probability: 20%
Friday, February 20, 2026 at 7:30 PM UTC
0-1
AI Prediction
Wadi Degla Win
High confidence
WAD

Wadi Degla

Win Probability: 55%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Ismaily Wins
1
Draws
2
Wadi Degla Wins
3
Last Meeting2026-01-17
Score1-2
ResultWadi Degla Win
Predictions
Match ResultWadi Degla Win
High1.98
Correct Score0-1
Medium5.0
Both Teams To ScoreNo
High1.497
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals
High1.33
AI Match Analysis

The gulf between Ismaily and Wadi Degla this season is substantial, a fact clearly reflected in their respective league positions. Ismaily is embroiled in a desperate relegation battle, a situation exacerbated by a recent managerial change and crippling financial issues that have prevented them from strengthening their squad. Their recent results paint a grim picture: four losses in their last five outings and a complete failure to score in the last two. Morale is undoubtedly at rock bottom. Wadi Degla, while not world-beaters, are a competent and stable unit in the top half of the table. Their form is steady, and they hold a crucial psychological edge, having already defeated Ismaily 2-1 just last month. This prior result demonstrates their ability to overcome Ismaily even on their home turf. The historical head-to-head record between the clubs is balanced, but recent history and current form are far more telling indicators, and they both heavily favor the visitors. From a tactical perspective, Ismaily's new manager will likely prioritize damage control, setting the team up to be difficult to break down. However, with a squad low on confidence and quality, it's a tall order to expect them to contain a more fluid Wadi Degla side for the full 90 minutes. Wadi Degla should dominate the ball and create the better goal-scoring opportunities. Considering Ismaily's offensive struggles, a clean sheet for the visitors is a strong possibility, paving the way for a narrow but deserved away win.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Wadi Degla to win at 1.98 odds seems to offer solid value given the vast disparity in form and league position between the two teams.
  • Under 2.5 goals at 1.33 odds aligns with Ismaily's scoring struggles and the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring affair, making it a strong value proposition.
Risky Bets
  • An Ismaily win at 4.355 odds is a high-risk bet. While they have home advantage, their current form, internal issues, and recent head-to-head record suggest a victory is highly improbable.
  • Over 2.5 goals at 2.83 odds is risky. Ismaily has failed to score in their last two matches, and this game profiles as a low-scoring contest.
Ismaily Overview

Ismaily is currently in a state of crisis, both on and off the pitch. Positioned deep in the relegation zone at 21st place, their form is alarming, having lost four of their last five matches and failing to secure a win in their last six attempts. Scoring has been a major issue, as they have not found the back of the net in their last two games. A recent managerial change in late January highlights the instability surrounding the club. Furthermore, significant financial debts and an inability to register new players for several seasons compound their problems, likely affecting team morale and depth.

Tactical Notes

Under new coach Tarek El-Ashry, Ismaily will likely focus on defensive solidity to stop their run of losses. Expect a cautious approach, aiming to stay compact and frustrate the opposition. Given their recent goal drought, their attacking strategy will probably rely on counter-attacks and set-pieces rather than sustained offensive pressure. The potential absence of players on international duty could force further tactical adjustments and weaken their overall structure.

Key Players

Eric TraoréMarwan HamdiMohamed Hassan
Wadi Degla Overview

Wadi Degla presents a stark contrast to their opponents. Sitting comfortably in 8th place in the league standings, they are a stable mid-table side. Their recent form is mixed, but importantly includes a 2-1 victory over this same Ismaily side in the League Cup just a month ago. This recent head-to-head success, coupled with their superior league position and overall stability, gives them a significant psychological and competitive advantage heading into this fixture.

Tactical Notes

Wadi Degla is expected to control possession and dictate the tempo of the match against a struggling Ismaily side. Their tactical approach will likely involve patient build-up play, looking to exploit the defensive vulnerabilities of a team low on confidence. Having scored seven goals in their last five matches, they possess a credible attacking threat. They will aim to press Ismaily high up the pitch to force errors and capitalize on their opponent's fragility.

Key Players

Franck BoliDanijel MiškićAhmed Refaat
Last 5 Matches - Ismaily
29
LModern Sport
0-12026-01-29
22
LEl Mokawloon
1-22026-01-22
17
LWadi Degla
1-22026-01-17
12
DNational Bank of Egypt
0-02026-01-12
01
DModern Sport
0-02026-01-01
Last 5 Matches - Wadi Degla
05
LEl Mokawloon
0-12026-02-05
27
LAl Ahly Cairo
1-32026-01-27
22
WGhazl El Mahalla
3-22026-01-22
17
WIsmaily
2-12026-01-17
10
WPyramids
4-02026-01-10

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