AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Belgium CupThursday, January 15, 2026 at 7:30 PM UTC19:30
AND

Anderlecht

Win Probability: 58%
Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 7:30 PM UTC
2-1
AI Prediction
Anderlecht Win
High confidence
GEN

Gent

Win Probability: 22%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Anderlecht Wins
5
Draws
N/A
Gent Wins
1
Last Meeting2025-09-23
Score1-0
ResultAnderlecht Win
Predictions
Match ResultAnderlecht Win
Medium1.72
Correct Score2-1
Low6.5
Both Teams To ScoreYes
Medium1.727
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals
Medium1.8
AI Match Analysis

Our analysis points towards a victory for the home side, Anderlecht. This prediction is heavily influenced by the compelling head-to-head statistics, which show Anderlecht winning five of the last six meetings between these two clubs, and scoring a remarkable 14 goals to Gent's one in those home fixtures. While Anderlecht's current form of two losses, a draw, and a win in their last four league games is concerning, their underlying quality and historical supremacy in this specific matchup cannot be overlooked. They sit fourth in the league for a reason and will be determined to leverage their home crowd to secure a vital three points. Gent, on the other hand, enters the match with a more positive recent trajectory, having won their last two games. Their overall form of two wins, two losses, and a draw from their last five outings is superior to Anderlecht's. However, their abysmal record at Lotto Park is a significant psychological and historical hurdle to overcome. While they have the tools to trouble Anderlecht, particularly on the counter-attack, their historical inability to get a result here is a major concern. The odds reflect this, with Anderlecht positioned as clear favorites. We expect both teams to score, given Anderlecht's recent defensive frailties and Gent's scoring form, but the home side should have enough to edge out the victory.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS) at 1.727 odds seems a solid value. Anderlecht's defense has been leaky, and Gent is in good goal-scoring form.
  • Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 also presents good value, considering the attacking talent on both sides and Anderlecht's recent defensive record.
Risky Bets
  • A correct score of 2-1 to Anderlecht at 6.5 odds is a risk, but plausible given Anderlecht's home dominance in this fixture and both teams' current scoring trends.
  • Gent to win at 4.555 is a high-risk bet given their poor historical record at Anderlecht, despite their recent upturn in form.
Anderlecht Overview

Anderlecht comes into this fixture in a mixed run of form, with recent results showing inconsistency. The provided data shows a recent pattern of LLDWL, which indicates struggles, particularly in defense. However, their historical head-to-head record against Gent, especially at home, is formidable, having won 5 of the last 6 encounters. They currently sit 4th in the Jupiler Pro League table, suggesting they are still a strong contender. The team will be looking to leverage their home advantage to get back to winning ways.

Tactical Notes

Anderlecht will likely look to control possession and build attacks from the back. With creative midfielders like Yari Verschaeren and the goal-scoring threat of Thorgan Hazard and Kasper Dolberg, their main focus will be on breaking down Gent's defense. Defensively, they have shown vulnerabilities, conceding in four of their last five matches. Tightening up at the back will be a key priority for the manager. The potential absence of Mario Stroeykens through injury could impact their attacking fluidity.

Key Players

Thorgan HazardKasper DolbergYari Verschaeren

Injuries

Mario StroeykensDoubtful
Lucas HeyOut
Gent Overview

Gent's recent form has been better than their opponents, with a WWLLD record in their last five matches. This includes two consecutive wins, which will have boosted team morale. However, their away record against Anderlecht is poor, and they have struggled in this fixture historically. Currently positioned 8th in the league, Gent will be aiming to cause an upset and continue their positive momentum. They have shown they can be a resilient side, securing a draw against league leaders Royale Union Saint-Gilloise recently.

Tactical Notes

Gent is likely to adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on defensive solidity and looking to hit Anderlecht on the counter-attack. Players like Dante Vanzeir and Wilfried Kanga offer pace and a direct threat up front. Midfielder Omri Gandelman is a key goal threat from deeper positions. Their success will likely depend on their ability to absorb pressure and be clinical with the chances they create. The high number of yellow cards in past H2H encounters suggests they won't shy away from a physical battle.

Key Players

Omri GandelmanWilfried KangaDante Vanzeir

Injuries

Andrew HjulsagerOut
Max DeanOut
Noah FadigaOut
Last 5 Matches - Anderlecht
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LK.V.C. Westerlo
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Last 5 Matches - Gent
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