Both Turkey and Paraguay enter this Group D clash reeling from opening defeats, but the underlying numbers tell very different stories. Turkey generated 1.36 xG in their loss, hinting at a creative spark that could ignite against a Paraguay side that shipped four goals and offered just 0.54 xG of their own. With Hakan Calhanoglu orchestrating a midfield rich in guile, the Turks should dictate the tempo and expose a Paraguayan backline that looked disjointed. Paraguay’s attack lacks the sharpness to trouble a Turkish defense that kept their first opponents to a modest 1.18 xG, so a controlled victory for Turkey is the likeliest script.
Turkey’s superior xG creation and Paraguay’s porous defending from Matchday 1 make a Turkish win the standout call.
Turkey’s 1.36 xG and defensive solidity align with a two-goal cushion, while Paraguay’s toothless 0.54 xG suggests they will draw a blank.
Paraguay created precious little in their opener and face a Turkey defense that allowed only 1.18 xG; a clean sheet for the Turks is well within reach.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
Also in Group Stage Matchweek 2
Türkiye
DEF · 86' · 2 key passes
MID · 90' · 3 key passes · 1 shot
MID · 90' · 3 key passes · 2 shots
23
MID · 90' · 4 key passes · 4 shots (1 on target)
MID · 60' · 2 shots
Paraguay
DEF · 81' · 1 key pass · 1 shot (1 on target)
GK · 90'
FWD · 89' · 1 assist · 4 key passes · 1 shot
MID · 89' · 1 goal · 1 shot (1 on target)
DEF · 90'
14
3
18
16
10
11
8
19
7Türkiye
Coach: Vincenzo Montella
Paraguay
Coach: Gustavo Alfaro
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