Norwich vs Bolton: Bolton Winless Away from Home

NorwichNOR

Mohamed Toure 5'
Ruairi McConville 19'
Jack Stacey 61'

Championship

3–4

Full Time

HT 2–2

Carrow Road

Norwich, Norfolk

BoltonBOL

Thierry Gale 8'
Gaizka Larrazabal 42'
Sam Dalby 47'
Atsuki Ito 72'

AI ForecastsGraded

Norwich have been electric at Carrow Road, winning three of four at this venue and scoring freely, while Bolton arrive on a desperate run of just one point from their travels. The home side's 4-2-3-1 has produced goals in bursts and their early strikes — 30% inside the opening…

Match ResultHome Win63%

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High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →

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Re-forecast the moment the match changes: every goal, every red card, and at half-time.

Match Stats

Top Stats

0.69xG1.10

59%Possession41%

10 (4)Shots (on target)9 (5)

2Big Chances Created3

Attacking Play

1.18xG on Target2.12

Possession & Passing

468 · –Passes (accuracy)330 · –

4Corners2

Duels & Pressing

46Duels Won37

15 (68%)Aerial Duels Won7 (32%)

Defending & Discipline

1Saves1

11Fouls12

Norwich vs Bolton: Bolton Winless Away from Home

Updated Sat 19 Sept

Norwich meet Bolton in the Championship on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Carrow Road in Norwich, Norfolk, with the visitors traveling still searching for their first league victory away from home.

Bolton search for their first away victory

Bolton enter Matchweek 8 sitting 21st in the Championship table with seven points from seven matches. Their away record in the division stands at zero wins, one draw, and two defeats from three fixtures, having scored twice and allowed seven goals. Over their last five games with underlying metrics, Bolton have allowed 1.98 expected goals per match while creating 1.29.

That defensive vulnerability showed during their recent travels, falling 2-3 at Sheffield Utd on 1 September 2026 before suffering a 0-4 defeat at Millwall on 5 September 2026. While Bolton secured a 1-0 home win over Cardiff on 12 September 2026, their squad remains depleted with L. Stephenson ruled out through injury and L. Brunt doubtful. Top scorer Sam Dalby leads Bolton with two goals in all competitions this season.

Mohamed Touré leads Norwich attack despite three absentees

Norwich occupy 15th place in the table with nine points and an even goal difference from seven matches, having scored 13 goals and conceded 13. At Carrow Road in league play, Norwich have won two of their three matches and scored seven goals, including a 2-1 victory over Birmingham on 9 September 2026.

Leading the attack is Mohamed Touré, who has scored four goals in all competitions this season, including a first-minute strike in the 3-4 defeat at Middlesbrough on 12 September 2026. Norwich enter this fixture following a 0-5 defeat at Manchester City in the League Cup on 17 September 2026. Manager Philippe Clement will have to adjust his back line, as A. Ahmed, L. Mahovo, and M. Topic are all ruled out through injury.

Our model firmly expects a Norwich win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a Norwich win on Sunday. The call aligns with Bolton's struggles on the road, where they have conceded seven goals across three matches and surrender an average of 1.98 expected goals per game. Although Norwich are managing absences in defense following a heavy cup loss, their home output of seven goals in three Championship fixtures gives them the upper hand against a Bolton team averaging less than a goal per match in the league.

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