Gent vs Aarhus

Gent host Aarhus at Planet Group Arena in Gent on Thursday, 15 October 2026 for Matchweek 1 of the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage, entering the contest on a five-match unbeaten run.

Gent enter unbeaten but miss top scorer Josué Vergara

Gent have recorded four victories and one draw across their last five domestic matches. They defeated Zulte Waregem 2-0 on 10 October 2026, beat Standard Liege 2-1 on 18 September 2026, drew 1-1 against Genk on 13 September 2026, and secured clean sheets in wins over Cercle Brugge (3-0 on 6 September 2026) and OH Leuven (1-0 on 3 September 2026). Across their last five matches with chance data, Gent produced 1.21 expected goals per game while allowing only 0.76. However, four players are sidelined through injury: Josué Vergara, who leads the team with 4 goals this season in all competitions, alongside Lászlo Bénes, Matisse Samoise, and Mouhamed Ngom.

Aarhus arrive after three consecutive European defeats

Aarhus enter this fixture following three straight defeats in continental competition. Their European qualifying campaign concluded with consecutive 3-1 losses against Benfica on 20 August 2026 and 27 August 2026, which followed a 4-0 loss away to Sabah FA on 11 August 2026. Their last European victory came in a 2-1 home win over Sabah FA on 5 August 2026, preceded by a 4-1 away win at Lech Poznan on 29 July 2026. Kristian Arnstad leads the Danish club with 2 goals in all competitions this season. Aarhus travel without Kevin Yakob and Tómas Kristjánsson, who are both ruled out through injury.

Our model expects a Gent win

Our forecasting model expects a Gent win with medium confidence. Gent have conceded only two goals across their past five fixtures and restricted opponents to 0.76 expected goals per match. Although the home side must cope without Josué Vergara and three other injured players, Aarhus have conceded 10 goals across their last three European outings.