Segunda División Matchweek 4 runs from Friday to Monday, bringing 11 fixtures that will shape the early table in Spain’s hyper-competitive second tier. The standout comes on Friday evening in Gran Canaria, where Las Palmas, second in the early strength ratings, host a Leganes side still unbeaten and yet to concede more than once in a match this term.
The pick of the round: Las Palmas v Leganes
Las Palmas have picked up where they left off last season, winning both of their last two after an opening-day setback. Our model’s call is a medium-confidence home win, reflecting the hosts’ sharp form and their recent record in this fixture – they scored twice in each of the last two home meetings, including a controlled 2-0 in April. Leganes’ defensive resilience will test that, but the model expects Las Palmas to find a way, leaning towards them scoring the opening goal and then controlling the contest.
The forecast also points to a tight, low-scoring night. The total goals call is fewer than 2.5, though that comes with low confidence, and the cautious exact scoreline projection of 1-0 is similarly a long shot. Interestingly, the model does see both teams getting on the scoresheet, hinting that Leganes might carry enough threat to trouble the home defence even in defeat. The half-time/full-time call – Las Palmas ahead at the break and ultimately winning – suggests the home side should impose themselves from the start.
Friday 4 September
Las Palmas v Leganes (18:30)
The one match already under the model’s eye is covered in detail above. A firm home victory call gives the round an early narrative, especially with Leganes yet to roll over.
Saturday 5 September
Real Sociedad II v Tenerife (12:00)
The Basque reserve side host a Tenerife team that traditionally carries ambitions of pushing into the play-off places. Our model’s forecast for this one is still to come, so for now it’s a meeting of two sides with very different profiles.
Sporting Gijon v Girona (14:15)
Two clubs with top-flight experience in recent memory meet at El Molinón. Girona have often travelled well in this division, but Sporting’s home form is usually a factor – the model’s calls will be available closer to kickoff.
AD Ceuta FC v Celta de Vigo II (16:30)
Ceuta’s return to the professional ranks pits them against a Celta Vigo B side that can be unpredictable. This is another fixture where we await the model’s assessment.
Valladolid v FC Andorra (16:30)
Valladolid will expect to set the tempo at home, while Andorra bring their distinctive project and a desire to prove they belong. The model will weigh up the early-season evidence before issuing its calls.
Eldense v Mallorca (19:00)
The newcomers from Elda face a Mallorca team that many expect to be in the promotion conversation. It’s a Saturday night test, and the forecast will be available nearer the time.
Sunday 6 September
Eibar v Granada CF (12:00)
Eibar are always a tough proposition at Ipurua, and Granada arrive aiming to bounce straight back to La Liga. This early kick-off could set the tone for Sunday’s action, with model calls still pending.
Oviedo v Burgos (14:15)
Two well-organised sides meet at the Carlos Tartiere. Oviedo tend to be strong at home, while Burgos are rarely an easy out – we’ll have the model’s view in the lead-up to the match.
Castellón v Albacete (16:30)
Castellón are back in the Segunda and will target their home matches as a foundation. Albacete, seasoned at this level, travel south for what should be a competitive affair, with forecasts to follow.
Almeria v Cadiz (19:00)
Sunday’s headline act features two teams that were in La Liga last season. Almeria’s attacking talent against Cadiz’s battle-hardened approach makes this a fascinating closing fixture; the model’s calls will be locked in before kickoff.
Monday 7 September
Sabadell v Cordoba (18:30)
The round concludes with two clubs looking to re-establish themselves after recent exits from the division. The forecast is still to come, but this is a significant test for both.
A full round like this can already shift early-season narratives, with the winner of Las Palmas–Leganes likely to sit in the upper reaches by Monday night. For the rest, the model’s assessments will arrive as kickoff approaches, and we’ll update the calls accordingly.
