Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris: Four Consecutive Wins

BrightonBRI

UEFA Europa Conference League

Today · 19:00

Amex Stadium

Brighton

Partly Cloudy · 16°C

Kauno ŽalgirisSPY

AI Forecasts

Match of the day · free full analysis

Brighton open their Conference League campaign at the Amex against a Kauno Žalgiris side who are simply operating at a different level in squad quality. Fabian Hürzeler's team have been creating clear chances steadily, with plenty of shots and a lot of possession, and have kept clean sheets in six of their last ten. The Lithuanian visitors have scored under one goal a game recently and have struggled to create much, with low possession and few clear openings. Brighton are missing Mats Wieffer, Kaoru Mitoma and Evan Ferguson, but the depth gap is so wide that it should barely matter. The main question is how many Brighton score once they break down a deep block.

Match ResultHome Win84%

Brighton have a huge gap in squad value, create far more quality chances and have lost only two of their last ten, while Kauno Žalgiris have scored just under a goal a game recently and rarely hold the ball.

Win or DrawHome or Draw96%

Brighton avoiding defeat is very likely given the gulf in quality and their strong home form, and the visitors would need a rare counter-attacking goal and a resolute defensive display to take anything.

Total Goals3 or more goals79%

Brighton have gone past 2.5 goals in seven of their last ten, four of five at home, and the visitors have conceded over two and a half a game on their travels, so a comfortable home tally looks likely.

High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →

Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris: Four Consecutive Wins

Published Today

Brighton host Lithuanian side Kauno Žalgiris in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday, 15 October 2026, at Amex Stadium in Brighton. The home side enter the league stage opener having won their last four competitive fixtures.

Brighton enter on four consecutive victories

The English club carry strong domestic form into European competition, remaining unbeaten in five matches with four consecutive victories. Brighton recorded a 2-0 win away at Sunderland on 10 October 2026, preceded by a 3-0 home victory against Arsenal on 19 September 2026, a 3-2 away win over Manchester United in the League Cup on 16 September 2026, and a 5-0 away win at Coventry on 13 September 2026. Across their last five matches with chance data, Brighton produced 1.92 expected goals per game while allowing 1.42. Midfielder Pascal Groß leads the club with four goals this season in all competitions.

Kauno Žalgiris, meanwhile, arrive with mixed results from European qualification fixtures earlier in the summer. They earned a 1-0 home win over Beşiktaş on 27 August 2026 after suffering a 3-0 loss away in Turkey on 20 August 2026. Prior to that tie, the club exited the UEFA Champions League qualifiers following 2-1 and 5-0 defeats to Dinamo Zagreb in August 2026. Across all competitions, V. Slivka stands as their top scorer with two goals.

Eight squad concerns confront Brighton

Brighton must handle squad rotation due to a long list of absences. Evan Ferguson, Femi Azeez, Kaoru Mitoma, Mats Wieffer, Stefanos Tzimas, Yankuba Minteh, and Zadok Yohanna are all ruled out through injury. In addition, Jack Hinshelwood remains doubtful with an injury issue. In contrast, Kauno Žalgiris enter the fixture with no reported injuries or suspensions.

Our model firmly expects a Brighton win

Our model firmly expects a Brighton win. The forecast reflects Brighton's attacking output, having scored 13 goals across their last four matches, alongside home ground advantage at Amex Stadium. While injuries sideline multiple regular contributors for the home side, Kauno Žalgiris have lost both of their European away fixtures recorded this season by aggregate margins of 8-0.