Twente vs FC Thun: Thun Concede 13 in Three Trips

TwenteTWE

UEFA Europa Conference League

Today · 19:00

De Grolsch Veste

Enschede

Partly Cloudy · 14°C

FC ThunTHU

AI Forecasts

Twente open their Conference League campaign at home against a Thun side making a European debut-level step up, and the gulf in resources is wide. Twente have won their last three, are unbeaten in six, and have been creating far more than they concede, with roughly twice the…

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Twente vs FC Thun: Thun Concede 13 in Three Trips

Published Today

Twente play FC Thun in League Stage Matchweek 1 of the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday, 15 October 2026, at De Grolsch Veste in Enschede. The Swiss visitors travel after conceding 13 goals across their last three away fixtures in European competitions.

FC Thun allow 13 goals across three European away trips

FC Thun enter this opening league phase match having struggled away from home on the continent. In August, they suffered a 0-7 defeat away at Lech Poznan in UEFA Europa League qualifying, following a 2-3 loss away at Vikingur Reykjavik and a 2-3 defeat away at Dinamo Zagreb in July. Over their last five matches with recorded chance metrics, FC Thun have conceded 1.84 expected goals per game while generating 1.12. The back line is further depleted by the suspension of Marco Bürki and injuries to Genís Montolio, Marc Gutbub, and Mats Seiler. Forward Brighton Labeau leads the club's scoring charts with two goals in all competitions this season.

Twente unbeaten in five with Marko Pjaca leading the line

Twente enter the fixture on a five-match unbeaten run in domestic action. Their last three fixtures at De Grolsch Veste yielded three straight Eredivisie victories: 1-0 against Telstar on 9 September, 2-0 against ADO Den Haag on 12 September, and 3-2 against PSV Eindhoven on 20 September. Their most recent match was a 1-1 draw away at Fortuna Sittard on 10 October. Top scorer Marko Pjaca has scored six goals across all competitions this season. Chance data highlights Twente's control at both ends of the pitch, creating 2.25 expected goals per game while conceding 0.91 over their last five matches. The home side will manage without injured goalkeeper Lars Unnerstall, alongside outfield absentees Filip Thorvaldsen and Stav Lemkin.

Our model firmly expects a Twente win

Our model firmly expects a Twente win in this opening matchweek. The forecast is grounded in Twente's creation of 2.25 expected goals per game and three consecutive home victories at De Grolsch Veste. In contrast, FC Thun have lost their last three European away matches, concede 1.84 expected goals per game, and arrive without suspended defender Marco Bürki.

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