Serie A returns for Matchweek 9, running from Tuesday 27 October through Thursday 29 October with a full slate of ten fixtures across three days. The round is headlined by a congested upper half of the table, where league leaders Inter and second-placed Lazio are separated only by goal difference, while ambitious newcomers and resurging giants push for position right behind them. Our model has published projections for the opening Tuesday fixtures, while calls for the remaining matches will appear on each match page the day before kickoff.
The match of the round: Torino vs Como
Tuesday's meeting between Torino and Como stands out as the most compelling fixture on the schedule. Como's rise under Cesc Fàbregas has been one of the stories of the Serie A season, and they travel to Turin sitting fifth with the league's second-best away record. Having recently followed up a 4-1 continental victory over Manchester United with a comfortable 2-0 league win over Sassuolo, Fàbregas's side are playing with immense attacking fluency. Striker T. Douvikas has already registered eight goals across all competitions this season, spearheading an attack that has produced 14 league goals in eight matches.
Torino enter the fixture in positive domestic form, having strung together three consecutive league victories against Udinese, Parma, and Monza. Ché Adams has led the line effectively with three goals, but Torino's recent record against Como will weigh heavily on their preparation. They suffered two heavy defeats against them last season, conceding eleven goals across a 5-1 home loss and a 6-0 defeat on the road.
Both squads carry injury concerns, with Torino missing Niccolò Fortini, Ricardo Rodríguez, and Rolando Mandragora, while Como travel without Assane Diao, Jesús Rodríguez, and Mattia Liberali. Our model leans towards an away victory, projecting a Como win with medium confidence and forecasting both teams to score in a match expected to clear 2.5 total goals.
Tuesday
The round begins when Sassuolo host Lazio. Sassuolo sit 14th with eight points and have struggled defensively, failing to record a single clean sheet all season while losing three of their last five matches. However, their home form remains relatively stable, yielding two wins and a draw from three matches. They face a stern test against second-placed Lazio, who arrive unbeaten in eight fixtures and hold a flawless away record of four wins, three clean sheets, and only one goal conceded. With Sassuolo missing Daniel Boloca, Fedde Leysen, and Ismaël Koné through injury, our model projects a narrow Lazio win as a close, low-confidence call, with medium confidence that the match will feature over 2.5 goals. In our more speculative projections, a 2-1 Lazio victory is the model's exact-scoreline lean.
Later on Tuesday, AS Roma welcome Cagliari. Roma sit third with 18 points, boasting the division's tightest defence with only six goals conceded and an attack that has scored twelve times in its last five outings under Gian Piero Gasperini. Forward Donyell Malen has nine goals in all competitions, though the hosts must work around injuries to Lorenzo Pellegrini, Manu Koné, and goalkeeper Mile Svilar. Cagliari sit ninth but arrive following back-to-back defeats against Monza and Bologna, having failed to score in either match. Our model has high confidence in an AS Roma win, alongside high confidence that Roma will score the opening goal.
Wednesday
Wednesday's early window features three simultaneous kickoffs. Fourth-placed AC Milan host Bologna, looking to build on their 2-0 win at Udinese despite missing Adrien Rabiot, Alexis Saelemaekers, and Diego Moreira. Bologna sit 13th after a 2-0 victory at Cagliari but will be without Riccardo Orsolini, Emil Holm, and Roberto Piccoli.
Parma meet Udinese in a contest between two sides level on four points in the relegation positions. Parma have lost three consecutive league games without scoring a goal, conceding eight times in that span. Udinese are also enduring a three-match losing sequence, conceding seven goals across defeats to Torino, Lecce, and Milan, and must cope without David Alaba, Idrissa Gueye, and Alessandro Zanoli.
League leaders Inter travel to bottom-placed Venezia. Inter have gathered 22 points from eight matches, scoring 23 times and riding a three-match winning run across all competitions, powered by Lautaro Martínez's six goals. Venezia sit 20th with three points, having lost five of their eight league fixtures, and are missing Bartol Franjić, Marin Šverko, and Thierry Correia.
Wednesday concludes with two evening fixtures. Genoa, 16th after a 1-0 win over Venezia, host seventh-placed Juventus. Juventus returned to winning ways in the league with a 2-0 victory at Lecce behind Randal Kolo Muani, but they head into this match without Francisco Conceição and Kamil Grabara. Meanwhile, Monza host Napoli. Monza sit 15th with seven points, relying on forward Gustavo Varela, who has seven goals this term. Napoli sit tenth following a 3-3 draw with Roma and an away loss at Venezia, with central defender Alessandro Buongiorno among their confirmed injury absentees.
Thursday
Thursday's schedule opens with sixth-placed Frosinone hosting 12th-placed Lecce. Frosinone have collected 14 points from eight matches, scoring 17 goals and coming off a dramatic 4-4 draw against Atalanta, with striker Antonio Raimondo taking his seasonal tally to seven. Lecce must travel without suspended defender Kialonda Gaspar and injured top scorer Lassana Coulibaly.
The round closes with Fiorentina taking on Atalanta. Fiorentina occupy 18th place having lost three straight league games by identical 2-1 or 3-1 scorelines, conceding 19 goals across eight rounds. Atalanta sit 11th on ten points and are without Franck Kessié, Giacomo Raspadori, and Giorgio Scalvini, but will lean on Nikola Krstović, who has six goals this season, to exploit a fragile home backline.
The table ahead
With Inter and Lazio locked on 22 points at the summit, Matchweek 9 provides an immediate opportunity for separation in the title race. Roma and Milan remain within striking distance of the top two, while Como have the chance to strengthen their position inside the European places if they can overcome Torino. At the other end, the meeting between Parma and Udinese guarantees that at least one struggling side will either halt their losing run or drop further into trouble.
