La Liga Matchweek 11 runs from Friday, 30 October to Monday, 2 November 2026, presenting a ten-match schedule as division positions begin to solidify. With title pursuers trying to maintain pressure at the top and several clubs struggling near the relegation places, the upcoming fixtures test consistency across the league. Our model has published projections for the opening four matches, while calls for the remaining fixtures appear on each match page the day before kickoff.
The match of the round: Levante vs Atletico Madrid
Levante host Atletico Madrid on Saturday afternoon in a fixture that contrasts attacking openness with defensive discipline. Levante have maintained high-scoring home form, but they face an Atletico Madrid side that has secured six consecutive victories in all competitions. The visitors hold the joint-best away record in La Liga and frequently strike in the closing stages of matches.
Our forecasting model firmly favours an away victory, projecting an Atletico Madrid win with high confidence alongside an expectation that the visitors score first. In contrast, our exact scoreline projection of a 1-2 scoreline carries low confidence, as scoreline calls are inherently speculative.
Personnel issues tilt the balance further towards Diego Simeone's squad. Levante are without injured midfielder Enzo Bardeli and have concerns over Adrián De La Fuente, weakening their defensive spine. Atletico Madrid remain without Johnny Cardoso and Koke, but with Álex Baena leading their attack on five goals this season, they possess sufficient depth to control the contest.
Match-by-match
Villarreal start the round on Friday by hosting Espanyol. Our model projects a Villarreal win with high confidence and expects the hosts to open the scoring. Villarreal have scored 13 goals across their last five matches in all competitions and enter following a 2-1 away win at Valencia. Espanyol sit 18th in the table, winless in six matches, and travel without the injured Kike García and Urko González, while manager Eder Sarabia serves a touchline suspension.
Saturday's middle fixture sends Celta Vigo to Vallecas to face Rayo Vallecano. Our model leans towards a Rayo Vallecano win with low confidence in what looks like a tight encounter. Rayo Vallecano have scored in every home game this season yet have failed to keep a clean sheet, while Celta Vigo arrive on a seven-match unbeaten run that features low-scoring away draws and only one goal scored on the road. The home side must manage without Andrei Rațiu, Augusto Batalla, and Luiz Felipe.
Saturday continues with an Andalusian fixture as Real Betis host bottom-placed Malaga. The projection expects a Real Betis win with high confidence. Manuel Pellegrini's side sit fourth in the standings having won four of their five home fixtures, averaging two goals per match. Malaga are 20th, still searching for their first league victory after scoring just twice across five away trips, and enter without injured trio Aarón Ochoa, Diego Murillo, and Joaquín Muñoz.
League leaders Barcelona host Alaves on Saturday evening. Barcelona lead the table with 27 points and 40 goals scored, though they enter after consecutive defeats against Real Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain. Alaves are seventh on 12 points following a 1-1 draw with Malaga. Barcelona remain without Andreas Christensen, Dani Olmo, and Eric García, while Alaves will be missing Facundo Garcés and Mikel Rodríguez.
Sunday begins with Getafe hosting Sevilla. Getafe occupy 17th position with five goals scored in 10 matches following a 4-0 defeat away at Athletic Club, and they are missing the suspended Johan Mojica alongside injured pair Christantus Uche and Juanmi. Sixth-placed Sevilla beat Osasuna 2-0 in their last outing and travel without Marcão and Miguel Sierra.
Racing Santander welcome third-placed Real Madrid later on Sunday afternoon. Real Madrid arrive after a 2-1 victory over Barcelona, with top scorer Kylian Mbappé on 14 goals in all competitions, though Ferland Mendy, Raúl Asencio, and Rodrygo remain out injured. Racing Santander sit 13th following a 2-1 win over Espanyol but must adjust without the suspended Jorge Salinas.
Elche take on Valencia on Sunday evening. Elche hold 15th place after a 3-0 away win against Rayo Vallecano, while Valencia sit 19th with six points from 10 games following a 2-1 home defeat to Villarreal. Valencia's attack is depleted by injuries to David Otorbi, Diego López, and Dimitri Foulquier.
Sunday's late fixture brings Athletic Club against Real Sociedad. Eighth-placed Athletic defeated Getafe 4-0 in their last match, though Gorka Guruzeta and Unai Eguiluz are confirmed absentees. Real Sociedad sit fifth after three consecutive victories across all competitions, scoring 13 goals during that run with Luka Sučić scoring five times this season.
Matchweek 11 concludes on Monday night as Deportivo La Coruna face Osasuna, with both sides level on 11 points in mid-table. Deportivo were beaten 1-0 away at Atletico Madrid last weekend and are missing leading scorer Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang through injury. Osasuna enter following a 2-0 defeat at Sevilla, with Romain Del Castillo sidelined while top scorer Ante Budimir leads the attack.
With Barcelona defending a narrow lead over Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, the weekend schedule offers the chasing pair an opportunity to alter the standings at the summit. Further down, Espanyol, Valencia, and Malaga require positive results to avoid slipping deeper into trouble at the foot of La Liga.
