Nashville SC are rewriting the Eastern Conference script with a flawless home record — seven wins and a draw from eight at their own ground — and they face a CF Montreal side that has shipped three goals per game on the road this season. The intrigue lies in the heavy rotation both coaches have made, with five regulars missing from each lineup, which could disrupt the hosts’ rhythm and give Montreal's attack a rare window against a reshuffled backline. Hany Mukhtar remains the creative heartbeat for Nashville, and his ability to unpick a Montreal defence that has kept just one away clean sheet will likely prove the difference. Montreal have found the net in most away trips but rarely without conceding, so the pattern of an open, high-scoring home win holds even with second-stringers. The contest should settle into Nashville’s favour as their depth and home comfort outweigh Montreal’s travel sickness.
Match ResultMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome WinCorrect
Nashville boast a perfect home record (7-1-0) and Montreal have lost six of eight away, conceding three goals per game; even with both sides heavily rotated, the quality gap at home is significant.
Win or DrawHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome or DrawCorrect
Nashville haven't lost at home all season, and while a rotated squad introduces some uncertainty, Montreal's dreadful away form makes a home defeat very unlikely.
Total GoalsMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome type3 or more goalsIncorrect
Nashville's home games have seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last five, while Montreal's away matches produce over 2.5 at a 100% rate recently; both leaky defences and rotated lineups point to an open contest.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
Match StatsIncludes deeper match tracker data — pressing, ball progression and shot quality — alongside the standard boxscore. Coverage is limited to major competitions, and a specific match can still go unmatched.
Top Stats
1.89xG0.76
63%Possession37%
10 (1)Shots (on target)7 (2)
3Big Chances Created2
Attacking Play
0.98xG on Target0.47
Possession & Passing
641 · 89%Passes (accuracy)364 · 85%
3Corners2
Duels & Pressing
40Duels Won27
9 (47%)Aerial Duels Won10 (53%)
Defending & Discipline
2Saves0
9Fouls12
Shot MapEvery shot of the match, sized by chance quality (xG). Tap one to see where it went. Coverage is limited to major competitions.
Nashville SC
1.89xG
10 shots · 1 on target
CF Montreal
0.76xG
7 shots · 2 on target
GoalSavedOff TargetBlockedWoodworkDot size = xG
Sam SurridgeGoal
68' · Nashville SC
12 / 17
xG
0.79
xGOT
0.98
Body part
Right foot
Situation
Penalty
Key Moments
Match Events
Half Time
57'
A. Najar
off: J. Bauer
Nashville SC
66'
B. Acosta
off: E. Tagseth
Nashville SC
66'
A. Qasem
off: A. Muyl
Nashville SC
68'P
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
74'
D. Rios
off: F. Herbers
CF Montreal
74'
Player RatingsPerformance rating out of 10 from the match data feed, covering every action a player took. The 5 best-rated from each side are shown; the star marks the highest rated on the pitch.
1. Joe Willis5. Jack Maher21. Thomas Williams23. Jordan Knight31. Andy Najar37. Ahmed Qasem6. Bryan Acosta12. Charles-Emile Brunet17. Woobens Pacius
CF Montreal
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
41. Samsy Keita24. Efraín Morales5. Brandan Craig6. Samuel Piette17. Dagur Dan Þórhallsson26. Ivan Losenko25. Frankie Amaya29. Olger Escobar14. Daniel Rios
12 Mar 23Nashville SC2–0CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
19 May 22Nashville SC2–1CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
12 Sept 21CF Montreal0–1Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
27 Jun 21Nashville SC1–1CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
24 Apr 21Nashville SC2–2CF MontrealMajor League Soccer