River Plate vs Huracan

River Plate face Huracan in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at Estadio Mâs Monumental, with the hosts defending a five-match unbeaten run.

River Plate average 1.66 expected goals created per game

The home side have won four of their last five matches, beginning with a 2-0 win over Argentinos JRS on 16 August 2026 and a 2-2 draw with Velez Sarsfield on 23 August. Since then, River Plate have secured three consecutive victories: 3-2 away at Banfield on 30 August, 3-1 against Independ. Rivadavia on 6 September, and 2-1 at Atletico Tucuman on 12 September.

Across their last five matches with chance data, River Plate have generated 1.66 expected goals per game and conceded 0.94. Sebastián Driussi leads the scoring with 6 goals in all competitions. The squad recently saw the departure of Matías Galarza, who completed a move to Inter Miami CF earlier in September, but enters this match with no reported absences.

Caicedo leads Huracan despite low chance output

Huracan arrive following a 2-1 home victory over Racing Club on 14 September 2026. That result stopped a four-match winless stretch that produced three draws and one loss: a 0-2 defeat at Sarmiento Junin on 16 August, a 0-0 draw with Deportivo Riestra on 23 August, and 1-1 draws against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto on 29 August and Belgrano Cordoba on 4 September.

Jordy Caicedo provides Huracan's main threat in front of goal, having scored 13 goals across all competitions this season. However, Huracan's underlying numbers show a deficit in chance creation, averaging 0.89 expected goals created and 1.48 allowed across their last five matches with tracking data. Like their hosts, Huracan report zero confirmed absences for this fixture.

River Plate won the last meeting between the sides

The teams met earlier in the year on 13 March 2026, when River Plate took a 2-1 away victory against Huracan. That result matches the broader trajectory across the recent matches, where River Plate have scored at least two goals in each of their last five league fixtures.

Our model firmly expects a River Plate win

Our model firmly expects a River Plate win. The forecast reflects the gap in chance creation between River Plate's 1.66 expected goals per game and Huracan's 0.89, supported by River Plate's four victories from their last five outings and their 2-1 win over Huracan in March 2026.