San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors

San Lorenzo host Boca Juniors in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 20 September 2026 at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, with the visiting side arriving on a five-match unbeaten run.

Boca Juniors finding goals away from home

Boca Juniors have avoided defeat across their last five matches, recording two victories and three draws. Their latest outing produced a 3-1 home win over Central Cordoba de Santiago on 12 September 2026, which followed a 2-2 draw away at Gimnasia M. on 5 September 2026. Every away fixture during this recent sequence has finished level, including 1-1 results at Racing Club on 24 August 2026 and Platense on 16 August 2026.

In attack, Boca Juniors have created 1.32 expected goals per game over their last five matches with data, conceding 1.02. Forward Miguel Merentiel leads their scoring charts with six goals across all competitions this season.

San Lorenzo lean on defensive stability

San Lorenzo enter this meeting following a 1-1 draw away at Independiente on 13 September 2026. Their fixtures have produced very few goals at either end: they have conceded only two goals across their last five matches. That stretch includes consecutive 1-0 victories on their own ground against Talleres Cordoba on 5 September 2026 and Union Santa Fe on 15 August 2026, alongside a 0-0 draw at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto on 21 August 2026 and a 1-0 defeat at Instituto Cordoba on 1 September 2026.

San Lorenzo have created an average of 0.71 expected goals per match across their last five fixtures while giving up 0.83. Striker Rodrigo Auzmendi mirrors Merentiel's output, matching him on six goals across all competitions this season.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Boca Juniors win

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Boca Juniors win, assigning low confidence to the outcome. Boca Juniors bring stronger chance-creation numbers into the match with 1.32 expected goals created per game compared to San Lorenzo's 0.71. However, Boca Juniors have drawn all three of their recent away league matches, and the previous meeting between the two clubs ended 1-1 on 11 March 2026.