Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF: Abraham Leads 48-Goal Attack
Updated
Degerfors IF face Hammarby FF in Allsvenskan on Sunday, 20 September 2026, at Stora Valla, where 14th-placed hosts take on a side with 48 league goals to their name.
Hammarby create 2.59 expected goals per match
Hammarby FF sit third in the table with 40 points from 21 matches, having built a goal difference of +28. Over their last five matches with chance data, they generated 2.59 expected goals per game while allowing only 0.91. That attacking output is led by Paulos Abraham, who has scored 13 goals in all competitions this season.
Their recent league form shows three wins in five outings, including a 3-1 home victory over IF Brommapojkarna on 13 September 2026 and a 4-0 away win at Kalmar FF on 16 August 2026. On the road, Hammarby hold a record of three wins, three draws, and four defeats from 10 games, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded. They enter the fixture missing S. Kone through injury.
Degerfors rely on clean sheets at Stora Valla
Degerfors IF have accumulated 19 points from 21 fixtures and sit 14th of 16 clubs, having scored 19 times and conceded 33. Their chance creation has been limited, averaging 0.47 expected goals a match over their last five games with chance data while conceding 1.32.
Despite their league standing, both of their recent victories came at Stora Valla without conceding a goal: a 2-0 win over Halmstad on 5 September 2026 and a 3-0 win against IFK Goteborg on 16 August 2026. Away from home, they have struggled, falling 0-2 at Sirius on 14 September 2026, 0-2 at IF Elfsborg on 29 August 2026, and 0-2 at IF Brommapojkarna on 23 August 2026. Dijan Vukojevic leads their scoring chart with four goals, while defender J. Pikkarainen remains out injured.
Hammarby dominated the previous meeting 4-0
The earlier league fixture between these clubs on 19 July 2026 ended in a 4-0 home victory for Hammarby FF. In their two 2025 meetings, Degerfors held Hammarby to a 1-1 draw at Stora Valla on 3 November 2025 after a 1-0 Hammarby victory on 26 May 2025.
Our model firmly expects a Hammarby FF win
Our forecasting model firmly expects a Hammarby FF win. The projection is supported by the 21-point separation in the table and the disparity in chance production, with Hammarby generating 2.59 expected goals per match compared to 0.47 for Degerfors IF. Degerfors' home record of three wins from 10 games provides their primary resistance against the league's third-ranked side.
