1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg: Perfect at Home

1. FC NürnbergNUR

Piet Scobel 52', 59'
Mohamed Alì Zoma 63'
Giannis Masouras 90+6'

2. Bundesliga

4–4

Full Time

HT 0–2

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Nürnberg

VfL WolfsburgWOL

Hauke Wahl 12'
Muhammed Mehmet Damar 29'
Alessio Besio 90+1', 90+8'

AI ForecastsGraded

Nürnberg's perfect home start meets a Wolfsburg side whose squad is worth far more on paper. The hosts have scored sixteen in six, with Mohamed Alì Zoma leading the division's scoring charts, and they have not failed to score all season. Wolfsburg's chance creation over their…

Match ResultAway Win38%

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High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →

Key facts

1. FC Nürnberg have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
1. FC Nürnberg rank 2nd in this competition's home table this season
Mohamed Alì Zoma is the top scorer in this competition this season (6)
VfL Wolfsburg have scored 17 goals in their last 5 matches
Fabian Reese ranks 2nd in this competition for big chances created this season (6)

As they stood before kick-off.

1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg: Perfect at Home

Published Sat 10 Oct

1. FC Nürnberg take on VfL Wolfsburg in 2. Bundesliga Matchweek 7 on Saturday, 10 October 2026, at Max-Morlock-Stadion in Nürnberg. The home side enter the fixture second in the table with 16 points from six games, having won all three of their home league matches this season.

Nürnberg defend a three-match home winning run

FC Nürnberg have built their early position on a flawless record at Max-Morlock-Stadion, collecting nine points from three home fixtures with nine goals scored and two conceded. Their latest match produced a 1-0 away win at Karlsruher SC on 19 September 2026, following a 2-1 home victory against Hannover 96 on 11 September 2026 and a 2-2 draw at Holstein Kiel on 5 September 2026. Across their last five matches with data, Nürnberg created 1.54 expected goals per game while allowing 1.32.

Top scorer Mohamed Ali Zoma leads the attack with six goals across all competitions this season. Defensive depth is tested, however, by confirmed injuries to Mikayil Faye and Styopa Mkrtchyan, leaving two defensive options unavailable against a high-scoring opponent.

Wolfsburg create 2.29 expected goals a match

VfL Wolfsburg sit fifth in 2. Bundesliga with 11 points from six games and a plus-seven goal difference. They entered the break following a 5-1 home win against SV Darmstadt 98 on 18 September 2026, recovering from a 1-0 away defeat at FC St. Pauli on 12 September 2026 and a 4-4 draw against Energie Cottbus on 5 September 2026. Away from home, they have won two of three league fixtures, including a 5-2 victory at Karlsruher SC on 29 August 2026 and a 1-0 win at Hannover 96 on 16 August 2026.

Across their last five matches with chance data, Wolfsburg have generated 2.29 expected goals per game while allowing 1.71. R. Glatzel heads their scoring chart with four goals in all competitions, though the away side remain without Christian Eriksen due to injury.

Our model leans towards a VfL Wolfsburg win

Our model leans narrowly towards a VfL Wolfsburg win for this match. Wolfsburg's attacking average of 2.29 expected goals created per game underpins that projection, though their defensive concession rate of 1.71 expected goals allowed and Nürnberg's three straight home wins provide substantial counterarguments.

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