Montenegro vs Cyprus: Model Backs Hosts in Podgorica

MontenegroMNE

Nikola Krstović 66' (pen)
Milutin Osmajić 86'

UEFA Nations League

2–1

Full Time

HT 0–0

Stadion pod Goricom

Podgorica

CyprusCYP

Marcus Edwards 55'

AI ForecastsGraded

Montenegro open their Nations League C campaign in Podgorica looking to replicate the dominance they showed in the 4-0 home hammering of Cyprus the last time these nations met. Cyprus arrive with a dismal defensive record from their recent campaigns, conceding heavily in their…

Match ResultHome Win54%

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High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →

Match Stats

Top Stats

3.13xG1.29

64%Possession36%

19 (4)Shots (on target)11 (4)

2Big Chances Created1

Attacking Play

71Final Third Entries42

44Penalty Area Entries22

Possession & Passing

530 · –Passes (accuracy)299 · –

8Corners1

15Poss. Won — Def 3rd20

15Poss. Won — Mid 3rd8

Duels & Pressing

46 (54%)Duels Won40 (47%)

13 (52%)Aerial Duels Won12 (48%)

41Ball Recoveries35

9.8PPDA (Pressing)31.0

Defending & Discipline

3Saves2

7Fouls7

Montenegro vs Cyprus: Model Backs Hosts in Podgorica

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Montenegro	4	3	10
2	Cyprus	4	2	7
3	Armenia	4	-1	4
4

Published Fri 25 Sept

Montenegro meet Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 25 September 2026 at Podgorica City Stadium in Podgorica, with our forecasting model pointing towards a home victory in League C Matchweek 1.

Group C2 kicks off in Podgorica

The meeting at Podgorica City Stadium marks the opening fixture of Group C2 in the 2026 UEFA Nations League. The four-nation section comprises Montenegro, Cyprus, Armenia, and Latvia, with every team playing home and away fixtures across the autumn schedule.

Both sides enter this opening match seeking early points before traveling for their second group fixtures three days later. Montenegro head away to face Armenia on 28 September, while Cyprus travel to play Latvia on the same date. The return fixture between Cyprus and Montenegro is scheduled for the final round of the group phase on 15 November.

A congested schedule across three international windows

The League C campaign requires each nation to complete six group fixtures between September and November. Montenegro and Cyprus each face four fixtures across September and October, beginning with this match on 25 September.

Following the opening two rounds, October brings two more group encounters. Cyprus host Armenia on 2 October and welcome Latvia on 5 October. Montenegro travel to Latvia on 2 October before hosting Armenia on 5 October. The group concludes with a double-header in November, where Montenegro host Latvia on 12 November before their trip to Cyprus on 15 November.

Our model expects a Montenegro win

Our forecasting model expects a Montenegro win, entering the fixture with medium confidence. Home advantage at Podgorica City Stadium gives Montenegro the edge for this Matchweek 1 fixture, leaving Cyprus to chase a result on the road before their trip to Latvia on 28 September.