Lithuania vs Azerbaijan

Lithuania face Azerbaijan in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 27 September 2026, at S. Darius and S. Gireno Stadium in Kaunas. The home team enter the match holding first place in Group 2 following their opening round victory.

Lithuania take first place after Liechtenstein win

Lithuania started their Nations League calendar on 24 September 2026 with a 2-0 away victory over Liechtenstein. That result lifted them to the top of the group table with three points and a plus-two goal difference from their first match, having scored twice and conceded none. The squad now plays its first home match of the campaign in Kaunas before traveling for the return fixture against Azerbaijan on 4 October.

Azerbaijan arrive with Emreli, Gurbanli, and Dadashov

Azerbaijan begin their UEFA Nations League group schedule with this trip to Kaunas. Manager Aykhan Abbasov selected a 30-man national squad for the autumn window, including forwards Mahir Emreli, Musa Gurbanli, and Renat Dadashov, alongside goalkeepers Aydin Bayramov, Ravan Mirzamedov, and Emil Balayev. Azerbaijan face four matches across a 12-day window, continuing after Kaunas with home dates against Liechtenstein on 1 October and Lithuania on 4 October.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Lithuania win

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Lithuania win, giving low confidence to the call. Lithuania enter with points already secured from their 2-0 win on 24 September, whereas Azerbaijan have yet to play a fixture in Group 2. With no previous head-to-head meetings recorded in our data and neither side carrying confirmed absences, Lithuania's opening clean sheet and home field at S. Darius and S. Gireno Stadium support the model's call.