Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein: Visitors Yet to Score

AzerbaijanAZE

UEFA Nations League

0–0

Full Time

HT 0–0

Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium

Baku

LiechtensteinLIE

AI ForecastsGraded

Match of the day · free full analysis

Azerbaijan return to Baku after a resilient draw in their opener, and they will expect to dictate this against a Liechtenstein side that struggled to lay a glove on their last opponent. The visitors managed just four shots and a meagre 0.08 xG a few weeks ago, while conceding two clear-cut chances at the other end — a pattern that suggests they will spend long periods in a low block. The hosts must be patient against that deep 5-3-2 shape, but their first-half goal in their opening match hints at an early breakthrough that could open the contest up.

Match ResultHome Win82%

Azerbaijan are the stronger of the two sides, generating 0.85 xG and nine shots in their opener compared to Liechtenstein's 0.08 xG and four attempts, and with home advantage they should control the contest.

Win or DrawHome or Draw95%

Liechtenstein have lost their last international fixture and conceded twice, and visiting a host that showed positive intent in their own first match will make avoiding defeat a tall order.

Total Goals3 or more goals59%

The league average of 2.64 goals and a baseline above 50% sets the starting point for a higher-scoring game, and Azerbaijan's early-goal trend points towards a home side that can nudge the total past two.

High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein: Visitors Yet to Score

Published Wed 30 Sept

Azerbaijan host Liechtenstein in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, 1 October 2026, at Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku, where the visitors arrive without a goal or a point in League D Group 2.

Liechtenstein sit bottom after an opening 0-2 defeat

Liechtenstein started their campaign on 24 September 2026 with a 0-2 home defeat against Lithuania. That result leaves them third in the three-team section with zero points from one match, two goals conceded, and none scored.

The visitors now face their first away fixture in Group 2. In contrast to their opponents, Liechtenstein failed to find the net against Lithuania and must travel to Baku needing to end a scoring drought that covers their entire group phase so far.

Azerbaijan take a point from Lithuania

Azerbaijan enter Thursday's encounter in second place in League D Group 2 after taking one point from their opening match on 27 September 2026, a 1-1 draw away at Lithuania. With one goal scored and one conceded, they sit level on goal difference behind the section leaders.

The home fixture in Baku offers Azerbaijan the chance to collect their first victory of the cycle. Unlike Liechtenstein, who conceded twice without reply, Azerbaijan managed to break through Lithuania's defence on their travels three days later.

Our model firmly expects an Azerbaijan win

Our forecasting model firmly expects an Azerbaijan win in Baku.

The call reflects the clear separation established across the first round of Group 2 fixtures. Azerbaijan took a 1-1 draw away to Lithuania on 27 September 2026, whereas Liechtenstein were beaten 0-2 on their own ground by the exact same opposition on 24 September 2026. With zero goals scored and a minus-two goal difference, Liechtenstein face a testing assignment at Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium against an Azerbaijani side that already earned a point on the road.

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