Azerbaijan vs Lithuania

Azerbaijan host Lithuania in UEFA Nations League D on Sunday, 4 October 2026, at Neftçi Arena in Baku, with two points separating the sides at the top of Group 2.

A second meeting in seven days follows a 1-1 draw

The two sides meet again just seven days after their 1-1 draw on 27 September 2026. Lithuania lead the three-team Group 2 table with four points from two matches, having scored three goals and conceded one for a plus-two goal difference. Azerbaijan are second with two points from their two fixtures, holding an even goal difference with one goal scored and one allowed.

Neither team has reported any injuries or suspensions ahead of the fixture. Edgaras Jankauskas and Aykhan Abbasov each retain clean squad sheets for the reverse encounter.

Azerbaijan seek first group goal at Neftçi Arena

Azerbaijan followed the 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture with a 0-0 result at home to Liechtenstein on 1 October 2026. That draw leaves Azerbaijan's home record in this Nations League campaign at zero wins, one draw, and zero defeats from one fixture, without a goal scored or conceded at Neftçi Arena.

Lithuania opened their campaign on 24 September 2026 with a 2-0 victory away at Liechtenstein. That result gives Lithuania a record of one win from one away match in the competition, with two goals scored and zero conceded on their travels.

Our model leans narrowly towards an Azerbaijan win

Our model leans narrowly towards an Azerbaijan win. The call balances Lithuania's two-point lead and their 2-0 away win against Azerbaijan's defensive record, which has seen Abbasov's team concede only once across 180 minutes in Group 2.