Malta vs Gibraltar: Hosts Top Group After Andorra Win
Published
Malta host Gibraltar in League D Matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, 1 October 2026, at Ta'Qali National Stadium in Ta'Qali. The home side enter the contest sitting top of League D Group 1 after opening their campaign with three points on the road.
Malta start Group 1 with a 2-1 victory
Malta opened their Nations League campaign on 24 September 2026 with a 2-1 away victory against Andorra. Irvin Cardona scored the equaliser for the visitors in the 36th minute before Teddy Teuma provided an 81st-minute winner. That result placed Malta first of three teams in Group 1, holding three points and a goal difference of plus one after one fixture. They have scored two goals and conceded one so far in the group stage. A second consecutive victory would establish a five-point advantage over both opponents in the section after two fixtures.
Gibraltar hold Andorra to a goalless draw
Gibraltar travel to Ta'Qali following a 0-0 draw at home against Andorra on 27 September 2026. That result left Gibraltar second in Group 1 with one point from their opening match, having neither scored nor conceded a goal. With James Scanlon included in their international squad, Gibraltar kept Andorra scoreless over ninety minutes but generated no goals of their own. Andorra remain third in the three-team table with one point from two matches, having drawn with Gibraltar and lost to Malta. Gibraltar now face their first away fixture of the group phase, needing to find their first goal in the competition.
Our model firmly expects a Malta win
Our forecasting model firmly expects a Malta win on Thursday evening. This high-confidence call reflects Malta's winning start against Andorra, where they scored twice to take immediate control of Group 1. Gibraltar managed a clean sheet in their opener but have yet to score a goal across ninety minutes of competitive action. With Malta holding home advantage at the 17,797-capacity Ta'Qali National Stadium and already sitting two points clear at the summit of the group, the data points towards another three points for the home side.
