Malta vs Andorra: Hosts Defend Top Spot in Group
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Malta meet Andorra in UEFA Nations League D on Sunday, 4 October 2026 at Ta'Qali National Stadium in Ta'Qali, with the home side sitting top of Group 1 after taking four points from their opening two fixtures.
Malta unbeaten in three head-to-head meetings
Malta hold the upper hand in recent encounters between the sides, remaining undefeated across their last three matches against Andorra. The two nations met just ten days earlier on 24 September 2026, when Malta claimed a 2-1 away victory. Guillaume Lopez had opened the scoring for Andorra after 17 minutes, but goals from Irvin Cardona and an 81st-minute strike from Teddy Teuma gave Malta all three points.
That away result followed two meetings in the 2024 edition of the competition, where Malta also avoided defeat. They recorded a 1-0 away win on 10 September 2024 before playing out a 0-0 draw on 19 November 2024. Across those three fixtures, Andorra managed just one goal against the Maltese defense.
Andorra sit bottom with one goal scored
Andorra enter this contest in third place in the three-team section with one point from their opening two games. Following the 2-1 home defeat to Malta, they picked up their first point in a 0-0 away draw against Gibraltar on 27 September 2026. That result maintained Andorra's clean sheet on the road in the competition, but it also extended their scoring troubles, leaving them with one goal scored and two conceded overall.
Malta followed up their opening win with a 1-1 home draw against Gibraltar on 1 October 2026. That result leaves Malta with three goals scored and two conceded in Group 1, giving them a three-point cushion over Andorra at the midway point of the campaign.
Our model expects a Malta win
Our model expects a Malta win, assigning medium confidence to the home team. Malta's 2-1 victory in Andorra in September and their active three-game unbeaten sequence in this fixture support that assessment, alongside Andorra's return of a single goal across their first two group fixtures.

