Eredivisie Matchweek 11 features nine matches across 31 October and 1 November 2026, highlighted by a contest near the summit as second-placed Ajax take on fifth-placed AZ Alkmaar. League leaders Feyenoord and third-placed PSV Eindhoven also feature prominently as they host Fortuna Sittard and Willem II respectively. Published forecasts are available for the weekend's opening six matches, while projections for the remaining Sunday fixtures appear on each match page the day before kickoff.
The match of the round: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
Ajax enter the round in second place with 21 points from 10 matches, having produced the division's most explosive scoring tally with 29 goals. Despite that firepower, their home record has been uneven, yielding only one victory in five league games. The Amsterdam side will also contend without Anton Gaaei, Caio Henrique, and Kasper Dolberg, who remain sidelined through injury.
AZ Alkmaar sit one point behind Ajax in fifth place with 20 points, though they travel following a 2-0 home defeat against Twente. With top scorer Mexx Meerdink leading the line on six goals, the visitors possess the attacking quality to challenge Ajax's back line, even as they manage the absence of suspended forward Ayoub Oufkir.
Our model leans towards an Ajax win with medium confidence. The forecast also indicates an open encounter, rating more than 2.5 total goals as a high-confidence projection. Ajax are projected to score the opening goal, though AZ Alkmaar's scoring record suggests the home side will face defensive tests throughout.
Saturday
League leaders Feyenoord open the round against sixth-placed Fortuna Sittard. The hosts hold 24 points with a goal difference of +21, powered by Anis Hadj Moussa's seven goals across all competitions. Fortuna Sittard are unbeaten in five away games, yet their defensive concessions appear flattering compared to the chances conceded. Our model projects a Feyenoord win with high confidence, alongside a high-confidence call for more than 2.5 total goals.
Seventh-placed Heerenveen face 12th-placed NEC Nijmegen having won two consecutive matches and scored seven goals across that span. In contrast, NEC are winless in seven league outings and have failed to keep a clean sheet this season. The model projects a Heerenveen win with medium confidence, while rating both teams to score as a high-confidence call.
Third-placed PSV Eindhoven host bottom club Willem II. PSV remain unbeaten at home and have collected 20 points, led by Guus Til's seven goals this season. Willem II have earned only two points from 10 games, conceding 32 times, including a 6-1 defeat to Cambuur last week. Our model issues a firm high-confidence forecast for a PSV Eindhoven win, with more than 2.5 goals also carrying high confidence.
Tenth-placed Cambuur take on ninth-placed Go Ahead Eagles in an evening kickoff. Cambuur are unbeaten in six matches after scoring six goals at Willem II, but have conceded 15 goals across five home fixtures. Go Ahead Eagles feature Søren Tengstedt, who leads their scoring with eight goals. The model offers a cautious call favoring an away win for Go Ahead Eagles with low confidence, while projecting a winner either way with medium confidence.
Sunday
Fifteenth-placed PEC Zwolle host 17th-placed ADO Den Haag in Sunday's early fixture. Zwolle have lost four of five matches at home, while ADO Den Haag are winless on the road and have conceded 23 goals in 10 matches. The model cautiously projects a PEC Zwolle win with low confidence, accompanied by medium confidence on both teams to score. A speculative exact scoreline projection of a 2-1 PEC Zwolle win carries low confidence.
Thirteenth-placed Excelsior meet fourth-placed Twente in the afternoon. Excelsior enter following three straight defeats in which they were outscored 10-1. Twente sit on 20 points after a 2-0 away win against AZ Alkmaar, led by top scorer Wout Weghorst with six goals across all competitions.
Sixteenth-placed Telstar take on 11th-placed Utrecht. Telstar have picked up six points from 10 games and conceded nine times in their last three outings. Utrecht arrive having taken four points from their last two matches, including a 2-1 away win at Twente.
Eighth-placed Groningen conclude the round against 14th-placed Sparta Rotterdam. Groningen have scored 24 goals this season, aided by Brynjólfur Willumsson's eight strikes. Sparta Rotterdam sit on nine points and seek an improved outcome after a 2-1 home loss against Ajax.
Matchweek 11 could prompt significant shifts near the top of the standings, where only four points separate first-placed Feyenoord from fourth-placed Twente. At the foot of the table, Willem II and ADO Den Haag require positive results to avoid slipping further away from safety.
