The Eerste Divisie enters Matchweek 14 with a full ten-match slate running from 6 November to 8 November 2026. At the top of the division, table leaders Heracles look to maintain their four-point cushion over second-placed VVV Venlo, but a visit from in-form Roda presents their sternest test in weeks. Forecasts for the remaining fixtures later in the weekend appear on each match page the day before kickoff.
The match of the round: Heracles vs Roda
First meets fourth on Friday evening as Heracles host Roda. The league leaders hold 32 points from 13 matches, having found the net 39 times while conceding only 14. Manager Vincent Heilmann has turned their home ground into a position of strength, taking six wins from six league matches while averaging three goals per game on home turf. Tristan van Gilst leads the attack with eight goals this season, though the hosts will have to manage without injured goalkeeper Fabian de Keijzer.
Roda arrive on the back of three straight victories, including road successes at Almere City FC and Jong Utrecht. Striker Anthony van den Hurk has supplied six goals across all competitions, anchoring a side that has conceded only 12 league goals all season—the best defensive record in the division.
Despite Roda's defensive organisation, our model leans toward a Heracles win with high confidence. The model expects Heracles to score the opening goal, projecting a match featuring more than 2.5 goals in total. In one of its speculative calls, our model registers low confidence on a 2-1 exact scoreline in favour of the hosts.
Friday
Six other fixtures accompany the headline match on Friday evening.
Nineteenth-placed Dordrecht host sixth-placed NAC Breda. The hosts have struggled defensively, conceding 34 goals in 13 matches, while NAC Breda arrive unbeaten in six. The model projects a NAC Breda win with medium confidence, expecting both teams to score and NAC Breda to score the opening goal.
At the Jan Louwers Stadion, FC Eindhoven take on Jong Ajax. Both sides sit in the bottom five, with FC Eindhoven failing to keep a clean sheet in nine matches. Our model projects a FC Eindhoven win with medium confidence, also anticipating more than 2.5 goals.
Helmond Sport face FC Volendam after scoring 11 goals across their past five games, though they have failed to keep a clean sheet all season. They face the division's top marksman, Henk Veerman, who has 13 goals. The model offers a cautious call with low confidence for a FC Volendam win.
Third-placed Almere City FC visit tenth-placed Jong AZ. The home side have netted 14 goals in their last five outings but have yet to keep a clean sheet in league play this season. Almere City FC will be without Mees Hoedemakers due to injury, but with Ferdy Druijf on eight goals, our model favours an Almere City FC win with low confidence, projecting both teams to score with high confidence.
TOP Oss host Waalwijk after securing four wins from six home league fixtures. Waalwijk enter on a five-match winless streak in the league, but our model leans toward a Waalwijk win with medium confidence, expecting a winner either way.
Second-placed VVV Venlo meet Jong PSV U21. Marinus Dijkhuizen's team have scored 36 goals in 13 league outings and have won back-to-back fixtures. Jong PSV U21 are without the injured Sami Ouaissa. Our model projects a VVV Venlo win with medium confidence, expecting more than 2.5 goals with high confidence.
Saturday
Saturday's lone fixture sees eighth-placed Den Bosch host bottom club Jong Utrecht. Den Bosch enter with confidence after a comprehensive 5-0 win away at Emmen, led by Sebastian Karlsson Grach with six goals this season. Jong Utrecht picked up their own win last time out, beating Dordrecht 3-2, with top scorer Emmanuel Owen also on six goals.
Sunday
Sunday begins with ninth-placed Vitesse meeting fourteenth-placed De Graafschap. Vitesse boast ten-goal striker Naoufal Bannis, while De Graafschap secured an impressive 2-1 away win at FC Volendam in their most recent fixture.
The round concludes as fifth-placed Emmen host eleventh-placed MVV. Emmen, led by nine-goal forward Jack Cooper Love, look to steady themselves following a heavy 5-0 home loss to Den Bosch. MVV enter on the back of consecutive league defeats against Heracles and VVV Venlo.
A victory for Heracles on Friday would guarantee their place at the summit regardless of other results, while a stumble could open the door for VVV Venlo to cut the gap at the top to a single point.
