The Primeira Liga returns for Matchweek 11 from 6 November to 8 November 2026, featuring nine fixtures across three days of action. League leaders FC Porto put their perfect ten-game winning record on the line, while Benfica and Sporting CP remain within striking distance at the summit. The remaining match forecasts appear on each fixture page the day before kickoff, but our model has already processed the early action.
The match of the round: Famalicao vs Arouca
The weekend opens on Friday night when Famalicao take on fifth-placed Arouca. Famalicao sit 11th in the standings and enter this meeting seeking their first home league victory of the campaign after failing to win any of their first four games in front of their home supporters. Under newly appointed manager Ricardo Silva, the hosts will lean on the finishing of Georgios Koutsias, who has five goals in all competitions this season. They must reorganize their back line, however, with Rodrigo Pinheiro serving a suspension and Matheus Colombo sidelined with an injury.
Arouca arrive in strong defensive rhythm, having collected three consecutive 1-0 victories in the league over Estrela, Alverca, and Nacional. Striker Ivan Barbero matches Koutsias with five goals in all competitions, though the visitors will be without the injured Miguel Puche. Despite Arouca sitting ten points clear of their hosts in fifth place, our forecasting model projects a cautious home victory for Famalicao with low confidence. The model expects a tight encounter, leaning toward fewer than 2.5 total goals and projecting a speculative 1-0 scoreline, though that exact-scoreline call carries low confidence.
Saturday
Nacional host sixth-placed Academico Viseu on Saturday afternoon in a clash between two sides in contrasting form. Nacional manager João Henriques has taken over a squad that has lost seven of its first ten league matches, including a 1-0 defeat at Arouca last weekend. The home side are missing Filipe Soares, Léo Santos, and Ulisses through injury. In contrast, Bruno Pinheiro's Academico Viseu have collected six consecutive victories across all competitions and remain unbeaten on their travels. Our model leans toward an Academico Viseu win, albeit with low confidence, projecting a low-scoring match featuring fewer than 2.5 goals.
Alverca welcome Casa Pia in Saturday's second kickoff looking to stop a run of two straight 1-0 defeats against Arouca and Benfica. Sérgio Ferreira's side sit tenth and have produced an average of 1.65 expected goals across their last five matches, indicating their offensive play is stronger than recent scorelines suggest. Top scorer D. Camara leads the line, though Bastien Meupiyou, Noah Raveyre, and Sabit Abdulai are out injured. Casa Pia sit 17th with just seven points and five goals scored all season. Our model issues a medium-confidence call for an Alverca win.
Saturday's schedule concludes with third-placed Sporting CP hosting ninth-placed Moreirense. Sporting CP defeated Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 in Europe in midweek and have scored 23 league goals, led by Luis Suárez with 12 strikes in all competitions, though Zeno Debast and Nuno Santos remain out. Moreirense travel following back-to-back league wins over Estoril and Estrela, though they will be without injured pair Alexandre Duville-Parsemain and Miguel Silva.
Sunday
Sunday begins with two fixtures kicking off at the same time. Bottom side Estoril, who have collected only two points from ten matches and lost 4-0 at Porto last weekend, host 14th-placed Maritimo. Estoril are without Fabrício Garcia and Isra Salazar, while Maritimo travel on a three-match losing run in the league and miss Yellu Santiago through injury.
At the same time, fourth-placed Santa Clara host seventh-placed Gil Vicente. Santa Clara picked up a 2-0 win away at Maritimo last time out, supported by five goals this term from Gonçalo Paciência. Gil Vicente drew 0-0 with Vitória SC in their previous outing, though they must manage the absences of injured duo Arthur Tchaptchet and Mohamed Bamba.
Later on Sunday, table-toppers FC Porto travel to face 13th-placed Vitória SC. Porto hold a five-point cushion at the top after ten wins from ten matches, fresh from a 4-1 victory against Napoli in European competition. Gabriel Veiga leads their scoring with seven goals, though Chris Smalling, Vasco Sousa, and William Gomes are unavailable. Vitória SC enter having won just once in their last three league outings, while missing Francisco Dias, Gui, and Juan Diego Castillo.
Sunday evening features two concurrent matches to close the round. Second-placed Benfica travel to 12th-placed Estrela following a 3-1 European win over Lech Poznan. Vangelis Pavlidis leads the Portuguese top flight with 12 goals in all competitions, though Clément Lenglet and Leandro Barreiro are out injured. Estrela have lost three consecutive league matches and will be without Jeremy Arévalo and Robinho.
Finally, 16th-placed Rio Ave host eighth-placed SC Braga. Rio Ave have dropped two straight matches, conceding six goals in the process, and will be without the suspended Andreas-Richardos Ntoi alongside injured duo Cezary Miszta and Nelson Abbey. SC Braga drew 0-0 away at Aarhus on Thursday and will rely on top scorer Pau Víctor, while Sikou Niakaté remains sidelined.
With FC Porto attempting to preserve their flawless start and Benfica trailing by five points, Matchweek 11 could either tighten the championship race or extend Porto's advantage heading into the winter schedule.
