Serie A Matchweek 11 runs from Friday 6 November to Sunday 8 November 2026, delivering ten fixtures across a tightly congested table. The round is defined by tests at both ends of the standings, from a basement meeting in Venice to top-four clashes involving Como, Inter, and Lazio. Our model has generated projections for the opening matches, while projections for the remaining fixtures will appear on each match page the day before kickoff.
The match of the round: Cagliari vs Frosinone
Sixth-placed Frosinone travel to Sardinia having scored 15 goals across their last five matches under Massimiliano Alvini. That scoring return has lifted them into the European places with 20 points from 10 games, though they enter this meeting without top scorer Antonio Raimondo, who has scored eight goals this season, and Florian Grillitsch.
Cagliari, managed by Fabio Pisacane, sit 12th in the table with 13 points but have dropped three consecutive league matches against Lazio, AS Roma, and Bologna. Defensive stability is an immediate concern for the hosts, who must manage without the suspended Adam Obert as well as injured pair Alieu Fadera and Giuseppe Aurelio. Five-goal forward Daniel Maldini offers their primary scoring threat.
Our model leans toward an away win for Frosinone, though confidence in that outcome is low. The projection also indicates both teams to score and anticipates more than 2.5 total goals, while a 2-1 victory for Frosinone stands as a speculative, low-confidence scoreline call.
Match-by-match
Bottom-placed Venezia host 19th-placed Udinese on Friday evening. Davide Nicola's side have created better underlying opportunities recently but struggle to finish them, having failed to score in six of their ten league games and losing their last three matches 0-1 to Como, 0-2 to Inter, and 0-1 to Genoa. Akor Adams leads their scoring with two goals, while Marin Šverko is ruled out. Udinese enter on five points after conceding five to AS Roma and are missing Alessandro Zanoli, David Alaba, and Idrissa Gueye. Our model issues a low-confidence call for a Venezia home win, with medium confidence that both teams will score.
Torino host Lecce on Saturday afternoon looking to halt a two-match losing run under Ignazio Abate. Torino sit 10th with 13 points, led by Ché Adams with four goals, but will be without Niccolò Fortini, Ricardo Rodríguez, and Rolando Mandragora. Lecce arrive in 14th position having lost three consecutive games while conceding 21 goals in ten rounds, and they travel without Ivan Ilić, Joël Monteiro, and Santiago Pierotti. Our model gives a medium-confidence projection for a Torino home victory, expecting fewer than 2.5 goals.
Parma welcome regional opponents Bologna to the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday. Alberto Gilardino's hosts sit 15th with eight points and have failed to score in three of their five home fixtures this season, though they beat Atalanta 3-0 last time out. Bologna, managed by Raffaele Palladino, have won four of their last five across all competitions, including a 4-2 away win over AC Milan. With Parma missing Adrián Bernabé and Dominik Drobnič, and Bologna without Emil Holm, Jay Enem, and Lorenzo De Silvestri, our model projects a Bologna win with medium confidence, alongside a low-confidence expectation of fewer than 2.5 goals.
Third-placed AS Roma host 17th-placed Sassuolo on Saturday night. Roma have scored 28 league goals this season, powered by Donyell Malen's 12 strikes in all competitions, though Lorenzo Pellegrini, Devyne Rensch, and Mile Svilar are sidelined. Sassuolo have lost three straight matches in Serie A, conceding 12 goals across that sequence, and remain without Cristian Volpato, Daniel Boloca, and Fedde Leysen.
Sunday begins with league leaders Lazio traveling to eighth-placed Napoli. Lazio sit top on 28 points having won three consecutive league games, scoring ten goals in that span with Tijjani Noslin leading their attack with four goals, though Mattia Zaccagni and Albert Guðmundsson are absent. Napoli have dropped consecutive matches in all competitions against Juventus and FC Porto, and enter the weekend without Alessandro Buongiorno, Alisson Santos, and Costantino Favasuli.
Genoa meet fifth-placed AC Milan on Sunday afternoon in a match between two sides in contrasting league form. Genoa have recorded three consecutive Serie A wins against Venezia, Juventus, and Lecce, with Milutin Osmajić having scored four goals this season. AC Milan sit on 21 points but fell 0-2 at home to Ferencvaros in Europe on Thursday, and their defensive depth is thinned by injuries to Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, and Alexis Saelemaekers.
Monza, 18th in the table with seven points, face 13th-placed Atalanta having lost three straight league matches while conceding nine goals. Gustavo Varela has nine goals this season for Monza, but absences to Matteo Pessina, Michael Folorunsho, and Yvan Kouadio Maye weaken their midfield. Atalanta enter without a win in three games in all competitions and are missing Franck Kessié, Giacomo Raspadori, and Gianluca Gaetano.
Second-placed Inter take on fourth-placed Como in an encounter between top-four sides. Inter have 25 points and responded to their derby loss by defeating Feyenoord 3-0 in Europe, but they are without top scorer Lautaro Martínez through injury. Como arrive with 23 points and strong scoring form, having won three consecutive games in all competitions including a 9-1 European victory at Lens, with forward T. Douvikas already on 11 goals this season.
Fiorentina close out the matchweek hosting Juventus on Sunday night. Fiorentina sit 16th with eight points following a 4-2 win at Sassuolo, but will be missing Fabiano Parisi and Marin Pongračić. Juventus, seventh with 17 points, won 2-1 away to AZ Alkmaar on Thursday and 2-0 against Napoli in their previous league game, though they must manage without Kenan Yıldız, Khéphren Thuram-Ulien, and Kamil Grabara.
With only five points separating top-placed Lazio from fourth-placed Como, Matchweek 11 could reshape the upper tier of Serie A while threatening to widen the gap at the bottom, where Venezia and Udinese duel to pull away from the relegation places.
