La Liga Matchweek 12 runs from 6 November to 8 November 2026, featuring ten matches across an intense three-day stretch headlined by tight regional battles and an early clash between the top two sides. Four fixtures have published model projections heading into the weekend, while projections for the remaining matches appear on each individual match page the day before kickoff.
The match of the round: Osasuna vs Athletic Club
Regional rivals meet at El Sadar on Saturday evening as Jagoba Arrasate's Osasuna host an Athletic Club squad led by Edin Terzić. Osasuna enter the weekend sitting 15th with 11 points, having dropped consecutive league games away from home against Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla. Even so, Arrasate's men have kept matters tight in Pamplona, conceding only three times across five home matches this season. Striker Ante Budimir remains their primary attacking outlet with eight goals in all competitions, but an injury list featuring Asier Bonel and Romain Del Castillo—along with a doubt over Aimar Oroz—strains their creativity against organised opposition.
Athletic Club sit seventh in the table with 15 points from ten fixtures, coming off consecutive league victories including a 2-1 win over Real Sociedad and a 4-0 dismissal of Getafe. Although Terzić must manage the absences of Aitor Paredes, Gorka Guruzeta, and Maroan Sannadi, the visitors have shown dependable defensive structure away from home. Our model projects an Athletic Club win with medium confidence, expecting a measured contest that stays under 2.5 total goals. A speculative 1-0 away scoreline is also projected, though like all exact score calls, it carries low confidence given how small bounces can alter low-scoring fixtures.
Friday
Sevilla start the round on Friday night by welcoming Alaves. Sitting sixth with 17 points, Sevilla have scored in every home game this campaign, providing a foundation as they attempt to shake off a 3-1 defeat at Getafe. Alaves arrive 11th in the table and are enduring a six-match winless run, compounded by a heavy 6-1 loss at Barcelona. With Alaves missing Facundo Garcés and Mikel Rodríguez, our model leans toward a Sevilla win with medium confidence, forecasting fewer than 2.5 total goals.
Saturday
Malaga host Racing Santander in an early afternoon meeting between two teams fighting near the bottom. Malaga sit 20th and remain without a league victory this season, though they have collected three draws from five home outings. Racing Santander sit 16th and conceded three without reply against Real Madrid last time out. Our model issues a low-confidence call for a Malaga win, while projecting with medium confidence that both teams will score and the match will produce more than 2.5 goals.
Espanyol welcome eighth-placed Deportivo La Coruna to RCDE Stadium later in the afternoon. Espanyol responded to back-to-back defeats with a 1-0 away victory at Villarreal, but suspensions to Eder Sarabia and Roger Hinojo limit their squad depth. Deportivo La Coruna edge into the upper half following a 2-1 win over Osasuna. The model projects an Espanyol home win with low confidence, expecting a tight fixture with under 2.5 total goals.
Saturday closes with Valencia hosting third-placed Real Madrid. Valencia earned a 1-0 victory at Elche last weekend to reach nine points, but they sit 19th and face a free-scoring Madrid side that has collected 27 points, led by Kylian Mbappé's 16 goals across all competitions.
Sunday
Elche open Sunday by hosting fourth-placed Real Betis. Elche sit 17th after a 1-0 loss to Valencia and are missing Marc Aguado and Thomas Lemar, while Betis aim to add to their 23 points despite the absence of the suspended Facundo Bernal.
Real Sociedad meet Rayo Vallecano in San Sebastián. Real Sociedad sit fifth on 19 points following a 1-1 draw against Lyon in Europe, whereas Rayo Vallecano arrive 12th after a convincing 3-0 home win over Celta Vigo.
Celta Vigo face Levante in the first of two late afternoon kickoffs. Celta sit 10th and look to halt a run of consecutive defeats against Rayo Vallecano and Union St. Gilloise, while 18th-placed Levante have dropped two straight matches in league play.
Villarreal square off with Getafe at the same hour. Villarreal sit ninth on 12 points and look to steady themselves after a 6-0 European defeat against Paris Saint-Germain, while Getafe sit 13th following a 1-0 midweek European loss to Brighton.
The weekend concludes with a meeting between the top two as second-placed Atletico Madrid host league leaders Barcelona. Atletico sit on 28 points having conceded only eight times in 11 matches, while Barcelona lead the division on 30 points behind 46 league goals and 19 strikes in all competitions from Raphinha.
Matchweek 12 could significantly alter the summit, where a victory for Atletico Madrid would move them past Barcelona into first place, while Real Madrid lurk just behind waiting to capitalise on any slipped points between the top two.
