The Scottish Premiership enters Matchweek 10 with six fixtures across 24 and 25 October 2026, headlined by leaders Celtic travelling across the country while their closest pursuers Rangers look to maintain pressure at home. The contrast at both ends of the standings provides the central narrative of the weekend, with first meeting twelfth and second hosting fifth. Projections are published for five encounters, while calls for later fixtures appear on each match page the day before kickoff.
Standout fixture: Hibernian vs Celtic
League leaders Celtic make the trip to Edinburgh on Sunday noon holding a four-point advantage at the summit after taking 24 points from their first nine league games. Their domestic scoring numbers are formidable, led by Camilo Durán with eight goals in all competitions, and they swept aside Heart Of Midlothian 7-1 in their last league fixture. Celtic also boast a flawless away record in the Premiership, conceding only twice in four away matches.
Hibernian sit bottom of the table with seven points and are still seeking a first home victory under manager Marink Reedijk. The Edinburgh side have suffered consecutive defeats against Dundee United and Falkirk, conceding nine goals across five fixtures on home turf, and they must cope without Callum Wright, Jordan Obita and Kanayochukwu Megwa.
Our model leans towards Celtic with medium confidence on the match result, alongside a medium-confidence projection for more than 2.5 goals. The model also issues a firm call for Celtic to score first, though Hibernian's attacking output via Martin Boyle suggests the hosts could contribute to the scoresheet. In the speculative areas, the model holds a low-confidence call for a 2-1 away victory.
Saturday
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen
Tannadice hosts a meeting between sixth and seventh, with a single point separating the two sides. Dundee United are unbeaten in four matches following a 1-1 draw at St Johnstone, though injuries rule out Emmanuel Agyei, Mehdi Merghem and Will Ferry. Aberdeen arrive after a 3-1 win over St Mirren, spearheaded by Kevin Nisbet, who leads their scoring with four goals. The model favours a Dundee United win, albeit with low confidence, while projecting both teams to score with medium confidence.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock
Ninth-placed Falkirk host eleventh-placed Kilmarnock, who carry the leakiest defence in the division having conceded 20 goals in nine games. Kilmarnock's defensive issues are exacerbated by the absence of first-choice goalkeeper Maksymilian Stryjek alongside Bailey Rice. Falkirk took a 2-1 away win at Hibernian last weekend, and the model issues a medium-confidence call for a Falkirk win, along with a medium-confidence expectation of more than 2.5 total goals.
Rangers vs St Johnstone
Second-placed Rangers bring a seven-match unbeaten streak into their meeting with St Johnstone at Ibrox, having conceded only seven goals and registered four clean sheets in nine league outings. St Johnstone sit fifth with Josh Fowler on six goals this season, but their record in this fixture is difficult, having lost nine of the last ten meetings. The model provides a high-confidence projection for a Rangers win and also firmly backs Rangers to open the scoring. St Johnstone's Samuel Stanton and Zach Mitchell remain sidelined.
St Mirren vs Dundee
St Mirren occupy eighth position after five consecutive defeats, shipping eight goals across their last two fixtures against Hearts and Aberdeen. Dundee arrive in fourth position after holding Rangers to a 2-2 draw, but they travel without injured top scorer Joe Westley alongside Bobby Wales and Finlay Robertson. Despite St Mirren's run of defeats, the model offers a tentative, low-confidence call for a St Mirren win, backed by a medium-confidence expectation that both teams will score.
Sunday
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian
Tenth-placed Motherwell host third-placed Heart Of Midlothian in Sunday's second kickoff. Motherwell have suffered three consecutive defeats against Dundee, Celtic and Kilmarnock, and are missing Callum Hendry, Dylan Williams and Oscar Priestman. Hearts are seeking to steady their domestic campaign after a heavy 7-1 loss to Celtic and a midweek continental trip to Trabzonspor, contending with injuries to Ageu, Blair Spittal and Christian Dahle Borchgrevink.
What the round could change
A Celtic victory would consolidate their position at the top, while Rangers could narrow the margin should Hibernian manage an upset at Easter Road. Further down, the logjam between fourth and ninth means that results in Dundee, Falkirk and Paisley could trigger significant shifts across the middle of the table by Sunday evening.