Major League Soccer Matchweek 33 runs from October 31 to November 2, bringing 15 fixtures across both conferences as the regular season approaches its final stretch. With playoff seeds and qualification lines hanging on every result, teams at both ends of the standings are under immediate pressure to deliver. Projections for the earlier matches are detailed below, while the remaining calls appear on each match page the day before kickoff.
The match of the round: Columbus Crew vs DC United
Columbus Crew head into Saturday's fixture in commanding form, having won seven of their last ten matches overall and carrying three consecutive home victories into the weekend. Their recent run includes a 2-0 win away at FC Dallas and a 4-2 win against Toronto FC. Although Rudy Camacho and Wessam Abou Ali remain absent with injuries, Columbus have found steady attacking production led by Diego Rossi, who has six goals across all competitions this season.
DC United arrive in the opposite condition. Winless in three outings after back-to-back 2-1 defeats against Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati, they also carry a four-match losing streak on the road. Their task is compounded by the loss of leading scorer Tai Baribo, who has scored 16 goals this term but is sidelined through injury alongside Gabriel Segal and Louis Munteanu. With DC United conceding 57 goals in 32 matches, our model holds high confidence in a Columbus Crew win, alongside a high-confidence call for more than 2.5 total goals. A speculative 2-1 correct scoreline in favor of the hosts is our model's low-confidence projection.
Match-by-match: Saturday
Charlotte host Orlando City SC to open the weekend. The hosts have suffered only three home defeats in 16 outings this year and average more than two goals per game on their own turf, led by Idan Toklomati Jorno's 15 goals. Orlando enter following consecutive 2-2 draws against Chicago Fire and New York City FC, but their defensive record away from home remains fragile with 74 goals conceded overall. Our model leans toward a Charlotte win with medium confidence, while projecting more than 2.5 goals and both teams to score with high confidence.
FC Cincinnati face Philadelphia Union in an Eastern Conference encounter between two sides separated by four points. Cincinnati drew 2-2 at Inter Miami last time out, relying on top scorer Kévin Denkey, but defensive injuries to Miles Robinson and Julián Malatini have created gaps at the back. Philadelphia are winless in three matches and missing Milan Iloski, yet our model cautiously leans toward a Philadelphia Union win with low confidence, expecting both teams to find the net.
New York City FC welcome CF Montreal in a matchup where the visitors are struggling to stay competitive. Montreal sit 15th in the Eastern Conference having conceded 66 goals, and they arrive without injured top scorer Prince-Osei Owusu after a 4-0 loss at Charlotte. New York City FC are unbeaten in three matches, and our model issues a high-confidence forecast for a New York City FC win, pairing it with a low-confidence speculative call for a 2-0 final score.
Sporting Kansas City meet Western Conference contenders FC Dallas. Sporting Kansas City have endured a difficult campaign, sitting bottom of the Western table with 80 goals conceded in 32 matches after three consecutive defeats. FC Dallas, sitting second with 54 points, boast Petar Musa's 22 goals this season. Our model anticipates a FC Dallas win with medium confidence, projecting more than 2.5 goals.
St. Louis City take on San Diego looking to arrest a three-match losing sequence. Despite missing Alexandru Mățan and Palmer Ault through injury, St. Louis sit third in the Western Conference. San Diego arrive following a 4-1 defeat at Vancouver Whitecaps. The model backs a St. Louis City win with medium confidence, alongside medium confidence that both teams will score.
Los Angeles Galaxy host Austin after a 2-2 draw with Los Angeles FC. The Galaxy have gone five games unbeaten at home and Marco Reus leads their scoring charts, while Austin enter having lost four of their last five matches. Our model gives high confidence to a Los Angeles Galaxy win and predicts over 2.5 goals.
San Jose Earthquakes square off against Real Salt Lake. San Jose are winless in their last five league matches after a 2-2 draw with Colorado Rapids. Real Salt Lake have won three of their last four, including a 2-1 victory at Austin led by Sergi Solans, but their travel form has produced just three away wins this season. Our model gives a slight edge to a San Jose Earthquakes win with low confidence.
Colorado Rapids close out Saturday's action against Chicago Fire. Colorado are unbeaten in three matches and have lost only three of 16 at home, but Chicago sit fourth in the East following a 2-2 draw with Orlando City SC. Rafael Navarro and Hugo Cuypers lead the respective attacks, and our model leans cautiously toward a Colorado Rapids win with low confidence.
Sunday and Monday fixtures
Vancouver Whitecaps lead the Western Conference with 58 points and host Seattle Sounders after a 4-1 victory over San Diego. Seattle arrive winless in three matches following a 1-0 defeat to Houston Dynamo, facing a Vancouver attack led by Brian White, who has 18 goals.
Eastern Conference leaders Nashville SC host New York Red Bulls holding 71 points and a league-best defensive record of 23 goals conceded in 32 games. The Red Bulls sit tenth following a 3-2 defeat at New England Revolution and must contain Sam Surridge, who has 18 goals for the hosts.
Atlanta United FC meet Toronto FC after three consecutive losses, sitting 14th in the East. Toronto earned a 2-1 victory over DC United in their last match, though they travel without injured defenders Walker Zimmerman and Kobe Franklin.
New England Revolution face Inter Miami in a meeting between second and third in the East. New England have won three consecutive matches, while Inter Miami drew 2-2 with Cincinnati and rely heavily on Lionel Messi, who leads their squad with 24 goals.
Los Angeles FC host Minnesota United FC on Sunday night. Los Angeles FC have drawn consecutive fixtures, while Minnesota enter on a three-match unbeaten run featuring 18-goal forward Kelvin Yeboah.
Portland Timbers round out the matchweek against Houston Dynamo. Portland have won two straight matches by 3-2 scorelines, while fourth-placed Houston arrive after a 1-0 win at Seattle Sounders.
This round presents opportunities for leaders like Vancouver and Nashville to tighten their grip on home-field advantage, while sides hovering near the playoff boundary in both conferences face dwindling schedules to secure their postseason berths.
