New York City FC vs Toronto FC

New York City FC have dominated this fixture, winning the last three meetings, and their home firepower (2.4 goals per game) should be too much for a Toronto side that has lost five of eight on the road and is winless in ten overall. Toronto arrive with a heavily rotated lineup missing seven regulars, further weakening an attack that averages just 0.8 goals away. NYCFC are missing several starters themselves, but the presence of Talles Magno and Bénie Traoré still gives them a clear edge in the final third. Toronto’s tendency to score late (38% of goals after the 75th minute) keeps a both-teams-to-score scenario alive, but the home side’s superior structure and head-to-head pedigree point to a comfortable win.