This Western Conference showdown pits the league-leading Whitecaps against a LAFC side on a four-match winning streak, but both camps are riddled with rotation. Vancouver are a fortress at home — seven wins from eight with five clean sheets and a measly 0.5 goals conceded per game — yet they go into this one missing four regular starters from their usual XI, which could disrupt their rhythm. LAFC arrive with an identical points tally and absurd defensive numbers (11 clean sheets in 18 matches), though their own lineup is even more shuffled with five regulars absent, including big names. The h2h pattern screams goals and chaos: five of the last six meetings have seen both teams score, with two 2-2 draws in Vancouver’s last three home fixtures against this opponent. Expect the makeshift defences to be tested early, but Vancouver’s home structure and LAFC’s counter quality should cancel each other out in stretches.
Match ResultMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome WinIncorrect
Vancouver's home record is elite (7-0-1, 2.6 GF, 0.5 GA per game), while LAFC's away form is middling (3-2-3). Heavy rotation on both sides favours the team with the stronger venue-specific identity.
Win or DrawHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome or DrawCorrect
The Whitecaps haven't lost at home to LAFC in their last two meetings (3-0 win, 2-2 draw), and the visitors' rotated lineup combined with a patchy road record makes a home defeat unlikely.
Total GoalsMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome type3 or more goalsIncorrect
Both teams' recent overall and away form leans heavily towards overs (70% LAFC last 10, 80% their last 5 away), and the head-to-head in Vancouver has produced 2-2, 2-2, and 3-0 in the last three. Defensive disruption from rotation should further open the game up.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
How Our Call Changed
Pre-match → Final call, after lineups and injuries landed.
The model reviewed this fixture and held every call unchanged.
Match StatsIncludes deeper match tracker data — pressing, ball progression and shot quality — alongside the standard boxscore. Coverage is limited to major competitions, and a specific match can still go unmatched.
Top Stats
2.51xG0.30
62%Possession38%
20 (5)Shots (on target)5 (1)
5Big Chances Created0
Attacking Play
1.95xG on Target0.81
Possession & Passing
649 · 89%Passes (accuracy)404 · 81%
10Corners1
Duels & Pressing
52Duels Won56
8 (33%)Aerial Duels Won16 (67%)
Defending & Discipline
0Saves4
14Fouls10
Shot MapEvery shot of the match, sized by chance quality (xG). Tap one to see where it went. Coverage is limited to major competitions.
Vancouver Whitecaps
2.51xG
21 shots · 5 on target
Los Angeles FC
0.30xG
5 shots · 1 on target
GoalSavedOff TargetBlockedWoodworkDot size = xG
Thomas MüllerGoal
76' · Vancouver Whitecaps
19 / 26
xG
0.79
xGOT
0.63
Body part
Right foot
Situation
Penalty
Key Moments
Match Events
37'⚽
Son Heung-Min
assist: D. Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
Half Time
48'
R. Hollingshead
Los Angeles FC
56'
R. Gauld
Vancouver Whitecaps
72'
D. Martinez
off: J. Shaffelburg
Los Angeles FC
72'
M. Delgado
off: T. Tillman
Los Angeles FC
72'
C. Sabaly
Player RatingsPerformance rating out of 10 from the match data feed, covering every action a player took. The 5 best-rated from each side are shown; the star marks the highest rated on the pitch.
32. Isaac Boehmer3. Sam Adekugbe41. Nikola Djordjevic43. Trevor Wright6. Ralph Priso26. Jean-Claude Ngando11. Emmanuel Sabbi19. Rayan Elloumi7. Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
Los Angeles FC
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
12. Thomas Hasal45. Kenny Nielsen91. Nkosi Tafari21. Ryan Raposo22. Jude Terry8. Mark Delgado19. Tyler Boyd17. Jeremy Ebobisse30. David Martínez Morales
4 Nov 24Vancouver Whitecaps3–0Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
28 Oct 24Los Angeles FC2–1Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
13 Oct 24Vancouver Whitecaps1–2Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
31 Jul 24Los Angeles FC2–2Vancouver WhitecapsLeagues Cup West Grp. 7
12 May 24Los Angeles FC3–0Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer