Inter Miami put their perfect five-match winning streak on the line against a Columbus Crew side that has struggled mightily on the road, managing only one away win all season. However, the hosts are a skeleton crew tonight — with Lionel Messi, top-scorer Germán Berterame, and six other regular starters missing or questionable, their usual firepower is replaced by a heavily rotated XI. Columbus boast the majority of possession in recent games and face a vulnerable Miami backline that hasn't kept a clean sheet at home in five league matches. This has the makings of a chaotic, open contest between two severely compromised defences.
Match ResultMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeDrawCorrect
Miami's catastrophic injury list (8 regulars missing) negates their form advantage, while Columbus' dire away record (0 wins in last 4 away games) makes them unreliable favourites. A high-scoring draw is the most logical outcome.
Win or DrawHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome or DrawCorrect
Although severely weakened, Miami have only lost once at home all season and still field Luis Suárez. Columbus have lost five of eight on the road. The hosts should at least avoid defeat.
Total GoalsMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome type4 or more goalsCorrect
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
How Our Call Changed
Pre-match → Final call, after lineups and injuries landed.
Match Result
Switched from Home Win to Draw
Win or Draw
Kept Home or Draw, moved confidence medium → high
Total Goals
Switched from 3 or more goals to 4 or more goals · confidence high → medium
Match StatsIncludes deeper match tracker data — pressing, ball progression and shot quality — alongside the standard boxscore. Coverage is limited to major competitions, and a specific match can still go unmatched.
Top Stats
4Big Chances Created2
Attacking Play
1.44xG on Target0.45
Duels & Pressing
29Duels Won20
7 (64%)Aerial Duels Won4 (36%)
Shot MapEvery shot of the match, sized by chance quality (xG). Tap one to see where it went. Coverage is limited to major competitions.
97. Dayne St. Clair76. Ezequiel Abadia-Reda70. Daniel Sumalla41. David Ruíz22. David Ayala55. Ian Urkidi59. Preston Plambeck52. Diego Rey10. Lionel Messi
Columbus Crew
Coach: Laurent Courtois
1. Nicholas Hagen18. Malte Amundsen11. Brooks Lennon12. Cesar Ruvalcaba26. Lautaro Giaccone10. Brais Méndez50. Tarun Karumanchi17. Sekou Tidiany Bangoura46. Chase Adams
19 Jun 24Inter Miami2–1Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
4 Jul 23Inter Miami2–2Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
29 Apr 23Columbus Crew1–2Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
14 Sept 22Inter Miami2–1Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer