New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC: Eight Home Wins
Updated
New England Revolution face Orlando City SC in Major League Soccer on Saturday, 19 September 2026, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. The hosts enter the fixture third in the Eastern Conference after taking 43 points from 25 games.
New England hold eight wins at Gillette Stadium
New England return home after four consecutive away fixtures, having recorded a 2-1 victory against Chicago Fire on 13 September 2026 and a 2-1 win over New York City FC on 10 September 2026. On their own pitch, New England have won eight, drawn two, and lost two of their 12 league matches, outscoring opponents 22 to 11. Over their last five matches with chance data, they generated 2.04 expected goals per game while allowing 1.28. Top scorer Carles Gil leads their scoring chart with 10 goals across all competitions this season.
Orlando concede 39 goals across 12 away matches
Orlando City SC sit sixth in the Eastern Conference with 34 points from 25 matches, but their defensive record on the road remains an issue. The visitors have conceded 39 goals in 12 away league fixtures, collecting three wins, two draws, and seven defeats. Their overall goal difference stands at minus-12, having allowed 56 goals across the campaign. However, Orlando arrive unbeaten in five league outings, most recently defeating Toronto FC 3-0 at home on 12 September 2026 and Atlanta United FC 3-2 on 9 September 2026. Top scorer Martín Ojeda leads the squad with 11 goals in all competitions, supported by an attack generating 2.06 expected goals per match over their last five games.
L. Campana and B. Ojeda ruled out through injury
New England will be without forward L. Campana due to injury, while midfielder A. Yusuf and J. Harrison are listed as doubtful with injuries. Orlando City SC travel north without B. Ojeda, who is confirmed out injured, while A. Marin remains doubtful. In recent head-to-head encounters, Orlando won 2-1 in their last visit to Gillette Stadium on 19 July 2025, following a 3-3 draw between the clubs on 10 May 2025.
Our model expects a New England Revolution win
Our model expects a New England Revolution win in this fixture. That projection reflects New England's record of eight wins from 12 home matches and their positive goal difference of plus-10. Orlando City SC carry an attack that has scored 44 league goals this season, but the 39 goals they have conceded on their travels support the model's call.

