Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City: Ten Away Losses
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Houston Dynamo meet Sporting Kansas City in Major League Soccer on Sunday, 27 September 2026, at Shell Energy Stadium in Houston, Texas, with 26 points dividing the two sides in the Western Conference standings.
Sporting Kansas City have lost 10 of 12 away matches
The visitors enter the fixture in 15th place in the Western Conference with 18 points from 25 games. Defensive issues have defined their campaign, conceding 63 goals while scoring 29 for a goal difference of -34. On the road, Sporting Kansas City have managed two wins and ten defeats from 12 outings, conceding 37 times and scoring 11. Over their last five fixtures with chance data, they have conceded 1.88 expected goals per game while generating 1.38. Their most recent outing ended in a 4-3 home defeat against Philadelphia Union on 20 September 2026, following a 3-4 defeat away to FC Dallas on 6 September 2026.
The visitors must also manage four squad absences. O. Blorian is ruled out with injury, while Capita, I. James, and J. Davis are listed as doubtful due to injury concerns. Dejan Joveljić remains their main scoring threat with eight goals in all competitions this season.
Guilherme leads Houston Dynamo into second place
Houston Dynamo sit second in the Western Conference with 44 points from 26 matches, scoring 34 goals and conceding 30. Their record at Shell Energy Stadium includes eight wins, three draws, and two defeats in 13 matches, with 17 goals scored and 10 conceded. They drew 2-2 at home against FC Cincinnati on 20 September 2026 and defeated Real Salt Lake 2-1 on 10 September 2026. Guilherme leads the attack with 14 goals in all competitions.
The home side carries squad constraints of their own. M. Arana is unavailable on international duty. A. Resch, J. Maurer, and M. Saracchi are doubtful with injuries, and L. Foster remains doubtful after being omitted from the squad. Houston Dynamo also hold recent success in this fixture, having won the previous meeting 2-0 against Sporting Kansas City on 2 August 2026.
Our model firmly expects a Houston Dynamo win
Our forecasting model firmly expects a Houston Dynamo win. The projection is supported by Sporting Kansas City losing ten of their 12 away fixtures in the competition and allowing 63 goals across 25 league matches. Houston Dynamo's record of eight home wins in 13 games and the previous 2-0 victory between the clubs on 2 August 2026 reinforce the selection.
