CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati: Montreal's 10 Absentees
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CF Montreal host FC Cincinnati in Major League Soccer on Saturday, September 26, 2026, at Stade Saputo, with the hosts looking to stop a five-match losing streak.
CF Montreal sit bottom after five straight losses
CF Montreal occupy 15th place in the Eastern Conference with 21 points from 26 matches and a goal difference of -22. Their recent form contains five consecutive defeats: 0-2 against Columbus Crew, 0-1 at Colorado Rapids, 1-2 against Charlotte, 0-2 at Philadelphia Union, and 1-7 at Inter Miami. Across their last five fixtures with chance data, Montreal have generated an average of 0.92 expected goals while conceding 2.08.
Selection options are severely limited for Montreal. Seven players are ruled out: S. Piette serves a suspension, B. Hidalgo and D. Pereira are sidelined through injury, and D. Sealy, E. Morales, O. Escobar, and W. Carmona are away on international duty. In addition, B. Vera, F. Amaya, and T. Gillier are doubtful with injuries. Prince-Osei Owusu, who leads the club with 13 goals across all competitions this season, remains available to lead the attack.
FC Cincinnati hold four straight head-to-head wins
FC Cincinnati sit ninth in the Eastern Conference with 33 points from 25 matches. They have dominated recent meetings between the sides, winning each of the last four encounters: 4-3 in March 2026, 3-0 in October 2025, 3-1 in June 2025, and 4-1 in August 2024.
However, Cincinnati enter this trip winless in five league fixtures, recording draws against Houston Dynamo (2-2), Charlotte (3-3), and Seattle Sounders (1-1), alongside heavy away defeats at Philadelphia Union (0-5) and Nashville SC (0-4). On their travels this season, Cincinnati have won once in 13 matches, conceding 37 goals. They must also manage without three players away on international duty: M. Robinson, P. Bucha, and leading scorer Kévin Denkey, who has scored 14 goals this season in all competitions.
Our model leans narrowly towards a FC Cincinnati win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a FC Cincinnati win, offering low confidence in the call. Cincinnati's four-game winning streak in this fixture and superior expected goals generation of 1.69 per game support the forecast. However, their lone away win from 13 attempts and the absence of Denkey balance against Montreal's 10 injured, suspended, or unavailable players.

