Aldosivi vs River Plate

Aldosivi face River Plate in Liga Profesional Argentina Clausura Matchweek 16 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at José María Minella in Mar del Plata, with the visitors dealing with a list of five confirmed injuries.

River Plate missing five injured players

River Plate travel to Mar del Plata without Agustín Ruberto, Aníbal Moreno, Fausto Vera, Juan Carlos Portillo, and Juan Meza, all sidelined through injury. Despite those absences, the visitors sit fourth in Clausura Group B with 23 points from 15 games, holding a plus-five goal difference after scoring 19 and conceding 14. Gonzalo Montiel leads their scoring charts with seven goals across all competitions this season.

River Plate suffered a 1-0 defeat away against Boca Juniors on 1 November 2026, but had previously recorded three wins and a draw in four league outings, including a 3-0 victory at Belgrano Cordoba on 18 October 2026 and a 1-0 home win over Racing Club on 25 October 2026. On the road in this competition, River Plate have three wins, one draw, and three losses in seven matches, scoring nine goals while conceding seven. Over their last five games with underlying metrics, they have created an average of 1.27 expected goals per match while restricting opponents to 0.79.

Aldosivi sit 14th with four defeats in five

Aldosivi enter the fixture 14th in Clausura Group B with 11 points from 15 matches, having scored 16 goals and conceded 24. They have lost four of their last five league fixtures, falling 2-1 away to Racing Club on 31 October 2026, 2-1 away at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto on 18 October 2026, 3-1 at home to Sarmiento Junin on 9 October 2026, and 1-0 at Huracan on 4 October 2026. Their only win in that span was a 1-0 home triumph against Belgrano Cordoba on 25 October 2026.

At José María Minella, Aldosivi have won three, drawn one, and lost three of their seven league games, scoring eight and conceding nine. They will be without injured forward Nicolás Cordero, leaving top scorer Andrés Vombergar, who has seven goals in all competitions, to lead their attack. Aldosivi have generated 1.10 expected goals per game across their last five matches with data while allowing 1.78 at the back.

Our model firmly expects a River Plate win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a River Plate win. The projection is supported by the gap in underlying numbers, where River Plate concede just 0.79 expected goals per game compared to the 1.78 Aldosivi allow, as well as River Plate's 3-1 victory in the previous meeting between the two clubs on 26 April 2026.