Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield: Four Union Absentees
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Union Santa Fe host Velez Sarsfield in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday, 6 November 2026 at Estadio 15 de Abril in Ciudad de Santa Fe, Provincia de Santa Fe, trailing their third-placed opponents by ten points in Clausura - Group A.
Four injuries test Union Santa Fe against high-scoring visitors
Union Santa Fe enter the fixture in 10th place in Clausura - Group A with 18 points from 15 games, having scored 22 and conceded 24. They are without Federico Gomes Gerth, Lautaro Vargas, Lucas Menossi, and Matías Rocha, all sidelined by injury. Cristian Tarragona provides their primary attacking threat, having scored 15 goals in all competitions this season. At Estadio 15 de Abril, the hosts hold four wins and three defeats from seven matches in the competition, with no draws, scoring 14 goals and conceding 11.
Velez Sarsfield bring an unbeaten three-game league sequence
Velez Sarsfield sit 3rd in the section on 28 points from 15 games with a +10 goal difference, having conceded 15 goals while scoring 25. The visitors drew 2-2 with San Lorenzo on 31 October following a 5-0 away win at Central Cordoba de Santiago on 26 October and a 1-0 victory over Gimnasia M. on 17 October. Ronaldo Martínez leads the side with 9 goals this season across all competitions. Away from home in this competition, Velez Sarsfield have collected two wins, four draws, and one loss from seven matches, while Emanuel Mammana remains their only confirmed absentee through injury.
Union Santa Fe hold a three-match head-to-head advantage
Recent meetings between these clubs favour the hosts, who are undefeated in their last three games against Velez Sarsfield. The most recent clash ended in a 2-2 draw on 27 April 2026, preceded by a 1-0 win for Union Santa Fe on 7 December 2024 and a 0-0 draw on 24 July 2023. Over their last five games with chance data, Union Santa Fe produced 1.25 expected goals per match and allowed 1.34, compared to 1.60 created and 1.29 conceded by Velez Sarsfield.
Our model leans narrowly towards an Union Santa Fe win
Our model leans narrowly towards an Union Santa Fe win. That assessment reflects Union Santa Fe's home record of four wins from seven Clausura fixtures and their three-game unbeaten sequence in this fixture, though it is balanced against Velez Sarsfield's 10-point advantage in the table and Union Santa Fe's four injury absences.
