Barracas Central vs Racing Club

Barracas Central face Racing Club in Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday 6 November 2026 at Claudio Fabian Tapia in Barracas, entering the fixture on a five-match unbeaten run.

Barracas Central create 1.55 expected goals per match

Barracas Central sit sixth in Clausura - Group B with 23 points from 15 matches. Over their last five games, they drew 2-2 against Belgrano Cordoba on 1 November, beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2-1 on 26 October, drew 1-1 with Sarmiento Junin on 19 October, and recorded victories over Huracan (2-0) and Atletico Tucuman (3-2).

Their recent chance quality reflects that form: over their last five games with data, they created 1.55 expected goals per match while allowing 0.82. Top scorer Rodrigo Insúa leads the squad with four goals in all competitions. However, the hosts must reshuffle their lineup due to injuries, with Fernando Tobio, Kevin Jappert, Lucas Emanuel Gamba, and Manuel Duarte all ruled out.

Racing Club travel without top scorer Adrián Martínez

Racing Club arrive in 12th place in Group B with 15 points and a -6 goal difference from 15 games. Their record on the road in this competition stands at one win, one draw, and four defeats from six fixtures, scoring five goals and conceding nine.

Injuries have depleted the squad. Top scorer Adrián Martínez, who has scored seven goals this season, is sidelined alongside Alan Forneris, Marco Di Césare, and Valentín Carboni, while Facundo Cambeses remains doubtful. Racing Club edged past Aldosivi 2-1 on 31 October, but they lost their previous away fixture 1-0 against River Plate on 25 October. Over their last five games with chance data, they have generated 1.34 expected goals per game while allowing 1.31.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Barracas Central win

Our model leans narrowly towards a Barracas Central win. The call reflects Barracas Central's five-game unbeaten sequence and solid underlying numbers in defence, having limited opponents to 0.82 expected goals per game. That pairs against a Racing Club side that has dropped four of their six away fixtures in the competition and enters without their primary attacking threat in Adrián Martínez. Barracas Central's own home record of three wins from seven matches, alongside a 1-1 draw in the last meeting between these teams on 25 April 2026, keeps the expectation balanced.