Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra

Independiente face Deportivo Riestra in Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday, 6 November 2026, at Estadio Libertadores de América in Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires, with both sides seeking to halt five-match winless sequences.

Independiente hold one home win in seven matches

Independiente enter Clausura Matchweek 16 in eighth place in Group A, collecting 20 points from 15 matches with a goal difference of -2 after scoring 13 and conceding 15. Form has slowed in recent weeks, yielding no wins from their past five fixtures. They drew 1-1 against Defensa y Justicia on 2 November, fell 1-0 to Boca Juniors on 25 October, drew 1-1 with Racing Club on 18 October, drew 0-0 against Talleres Cordoba on 12 October, and lost 4-1 against Instituto Cordoba on 2 October. At Estadio Libertadores de América, Independiente have recorded one win, two draws, and four losses in seven league fixtures, scoring three goals and conceding 10. Gabriel Ávalos represents their primary attacking threat with 11 goals across all competitions this season, while Jonathan De Irastorza is ruled out through injury. Their recent underlying metrics show 1.08 expected goals created and 1.14 allowed per match.

Deportivo Riestra remain winless away from home

Deportivo Riestra occupy 14th place in Group A with 12 points from 15 games, holding a goal difference of -7 from 10 goals scored and 17 conceded. Across seven away fixtures in the competition, Riestra have recorded three draws, four defeats, and no wins, finding the net just twice and conceding seven times. Their last five games brought two draws and three defeats: a 3-0 loss to Talleres Cordoba on 31 October, a 1-0 defeat to Instituto Cordoba on 27 October, a 1-1 draw with Union Santa Fe on 20 October, a 1-0 loss to San Lorenzo on 11 October, and a 1-1 draw with Central Cordoba de Santiago on 5 October. Top scorer Antony Alonso has four goals in all competitions this season. Riestra generate 0.71 expected goals per match while conceding 0.93. In their previous head-to-head meeting on 24 April 2026, Riestra won 2-0.

Our model expects an Independiente win

Our model expects an Independiente win. Deportivo Riestra have failed to win away from home in seven league matches and generate an average of only 0.71 expected goals per game. Independiente hold higher chance creation at 1.08 expected goals a game and have 11-goal forward Gabriel Ávalos available, offsetting their own record of one victory from seven home matches in the tournament.